Czechia vs England Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tuesday's UEFA Nations League Match

Sam Farley - Contributor at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst 10+ years betting experience
Updated: Sep 28, 2026 , 09:15 AM ET • 4 min read

Thomas Tuchel's England finally get their Nations League campaign on track in Prague.

Jude Bellingham England
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Jude Bellingham reacts at the end of the match.

This Tuesday there's UEFA Nations League action as Czechia and England meet in Prague, and both teams are winless in their group as I make my Czechia vs. England predictions. However, there were positives from England’s defeat to Spain, and I expect England to win by Over 1.5 goals here.

England are the overwhelming favourites, with a 71% chance of emerging victorious. You can back the draw at 19%, or a Czechia win at 12%.

Here are my UEFA Nations League picks for Tuesday, Sept. 29, with kickoff at 2:45 p.m. ET on VIX. Don't miss more free soccer picks.

Pick Kalshi
Probability
Top pick: England -1.5 45%
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Combo 4.50x

Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps. For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.

Czechia vs England predictions

My Czechia vs England top pick: England wins by more than 1.5 goals (45% probability)

England’s 3-2 defeat to Spain showed their defensive shortcomings, but manager Thomas Tuchel can at least take solace in their attack.

Anthony Gordon was exceptional on the left flank, and not just because he scored. Gordon’s ability to carry the ball forward, something he did 13 times against Spain, creates openings for his team. On Tuesday he’ll be matched up against Vladimir Coufal. At 34, Coufal isn’t as quick as during his prime, and he'll struggle against Gordon’s directness.

If Gordon can hit the byline, he can play the ball back to Harry Kane, who has already scored five times for club and country this season. Alternatively, Gordon can cut back inside and play the ball to England’s advancing midfielders.

My Czechia vs England Over/Under pick: Over 2.5 goals (57% probability)

The addition of Myles Lewis-Skelly into midfield gives England a player who can transition the ball centrally from deep, something that’ll help break a Czechia defense that sits back, which should contribute to England scoring multiple times.

The Czechs will also be confident of scoring after seeing England’s performance against Spain. Tuchel still doesn’t seem to know his best back four and goalkeeper, but the lack of communication between James Trafford and the central defenders on Saturday was the cause of at least one goal. That's something a busy Czechia attack can pounce on quickly.

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Czechia vs England combo

England -1.5

Both teams to score

Kane and Bellingham offer England a lethal goal threat, and with the pace of Gordon and Bukayo Saka on the flanks, the English can break down a defense that struggled to stop a sluggish, aging Croatia team.

It isn’t all good news for the Three Lions. Their poor defensive form has been continuing after conceding in six straight games. 

Czechia vs England odds

Czechia Czechia England England
12% Moneyline 71%
19% Draw 19%
Over 2.5
57%
Total Under 2.5
45%

Odds courtesy of Kalshi.

How to watch Czechia vs England

Location Fortuna Arena, Prague, Czechia
Date Tuesday, Sept. 29, 2026
Time 2:45 p.m. ET
TV VIX
Weather Clear

Czechia vs England key injuries

Czechia: Ladislav Krejci DEF (Questionable), Ondrej Lingr MID (Questionable), Adam Karabec FWR (Questionable)

England: Lewis Hall LB (Questionable)

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Sam Farley
Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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