Fulham hopes to pick up a first victory of the Premier League campaign when they host Manchester United at Craven Cottage on Sunday.
The Cottagers have just one win over the Red Devils in their last 21 league meetings, and my Fulham vs. Man United predictions are backing more misery for the hosts.
Read on for my analysis and free picks for Sunday's match, kicking off at 11:30 a.m. ET on NBC.
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps. For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.
Fulham vs Man United predictions
My Fulham vs Man United top pick: Manchester United to win (48% probability)
Playable to 51%.
Only Brighton have conceded more xG per shot in the Premier League than Fulham (0.14), which is a key reason the Cottagers are still seeking their first win.
Worse still, they're allowing opponents to take north of 70% of their shots from inside the box.
On the flip side, Man United trails only Brighton in attacking xG, as they've generated 8.29 xG from a league-high 84 shots.
The Red Devils have gone 8W-2D-0L in their last 10 visits to Craven Cottage and will continue to make it a second home behind the likes of Bruno Fernandes and Bryan Mbeumo.
My Fulham vs Man United Over/Under pick: Over 2.5 goals (62% probability)
Fulham and Man United are tied for the most penalty-box touches this season, with each registering 139. Add in the fact that Man United have yet to keep a clean sheet domestically, and there should be goals in this match.
Both defenses have been quite leaky early in this campaign, as shown by their inability to keep opponents out of dangerous positions.
Man United rank second in the league with 5.50 shots on target per 90, and I wouldn't be surprised if they cleared this total on their own- especially with Bryan Mbeumo stopping chances.
I would play this up to 63%
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Fulham vs Man United combo
Manchester United to win
Both Teams to Score Yes
While I'm backing the Red Devils to have the more efficient attack, that doesn't mean they've defended well themselves. Diogo Dalot remains a massive liability for a back line that desperately needed revamping in the transfer window.
Carlos Baleba will help with that, but this match will likely see him only as a sub, should he participate. Given Man United have conceded multiple goals in four of their five matches against English opponents in all competitions, I'm not big on them keeping a clean sheet here.
Fulham vs Man United odds
Fulham
Man UnitedOdds courtesy of Kalshi.
How to watch Fulham vs Man United
| Location | Craven Cottage, London, England |
| Date | Sunday, Sept. 20, 2026 |
| Time | 11:30 a.m. ET |
| TV | NBC |
| Weather | 72F, 9 mph winds, 15% PoP. |
Fulham vs Man United key injuries
Fulham: Kenny Tete RB (Out), Tom Cairney CM (Out), Ryan Sessegnon LB (Questionable).
Man United: Amad Diallo RW (Out), Carlos Baleba CM (Questionable), Luke Shaw LB (Questionable), Matthijs de Ligt CB (Out), Manuel Ugarte CM (Out).
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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