England vs Ireland Predictions & Picks for Sunday’s Nations League Match

There's no reason to to expect anything but a dominant performance from England went Ireland comes to Wembley Stadium on Sunday.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Nov 15, 2024 • 15:35 ET • 4 min read
Harry Kane England Nations League
Photo By - Imagn Images.

The final game of England and Ireland’s Nations League campaigns takes place at Wembley Stadium on Sunday.

Ireland were outclassed when these teams met in September, meaning our England vs. Ireland predictions have England winning convincingly.

Find out more in my Nations League picks for Sunday, November 17, with kickoff at noon ET on FOX Sports.

England vs Ireland picks and predictions

My best bet:
England -2 (+179 at TonyBet)

My analysis
This is a game with a fierce rivalry, although the difference in quality between the teams has led it to be very one-sided one. That said, the traveling Irish fans will have Wembley rocking, and the atmosphere at the game in Dublin in September was a good one.

England know a win is likely to mean they top League B Group 2 thanks to the superior goal difference over Greece, who play Finland. There’s nothing the fans and players of Ireland would love more than to stop the party, but there’s very little chance of that. 

England won just 2-0 at Aviva Stadium back in September, but they were in full control of the game, and Ireland didn’t really ever look like scoring. A lightning start from England saw them two goals up by 26 minutes before they took their foot off the accelerator.

The first-half performance was probably the best under Lee Carsley, and they ended up winning with 77% possession and having taken 16 shots, nine of which were on target. If it hadn’t been for Caoimhin Kelleher in goal, England would have won by a wider margin.

Now, England face that same team on home turf, which is one of the reasons why they should score more than they did at the Aviva. We also saw a very impressive performance from Greece on Thursday, which should give us more confidence. What was most impressive about that win was how England did it without Harry Kane and a number of regular starters.

In many ways, it was a fairly weak England team, but it showed their strength in depth. The frustration of seeing some of their teammates pull out seemed to galvanize those who did play if comments from Kane and Jude Bellingham were anything to go by. We also saw other players, such as debutant Curtis Jones, seize their opportunity to impress in a game they’d not usually have started.

Sadly, Irish soccer is at a low point and they can’t compete with the best teams in the world, of which England are. The depth of skilled players in the England ranks has been highlighted, and Thursday’s cohesive performance is enough to show they should be able to do one better than they did back in September.

England vs Ireland same-game parlay (SGP)

England to win

Over 2.5

Harry Kane anytime goalscorer

We can’t put the handicap into the SGP, so we'll instead back England to win. We’ll add the Over 2.5 goals, believing that England will score at least three goals, as mentioned above.

Finally, we’re going to back Harry Kane to score. He was surprisingly benched against Greece but is expected to start against on Sunday. Given the amount of chances England created against the Greeks, we can expect Kane to score if he gets similar chances. 

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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England vs Ireland odds

England vs Ireland live odds

England England Ireland Ireland
-417 Moneyline +1,300
+520 Draw +520
Over 2.5 (-139) Total Under 2.5 (+119)

Odds courtesy of TonyBet.

England vs Ireland side and Over/Under analysis

  • England won the reverse fixture 2-0 back in September.

  • England have four wins in five games, while Ireland have just two.

  • Four of Ireland's five Nations League games have cashed the Over 2.5. Three of England's five have done so.

  • The Under 2.5 has cashed in five of the last six meetings dating back to 1990.

England vs Ireland game info

Location: Wembley Stadium, Wembley, UK
Date: Sunday, 11-17-2024
Time: 12:00 p.m. ET
TV: Fubo
Weather: 50F, 12 mph winds, 50% PoP.

England vs Ireland key injuries

England: Declan Rice CM (Out), Bukayo Saka RW (Out), Jack Grealish LW (Out), Phil Foden FWR (Out), Trent Alexander-Arnold RB (Out), Cole Palmer FWR (Out), Levi Colwill CB (Out), Aaron Ramsdale GK (Out), Kobbie Mainoo CM (Out), John Stones CB (Out), Harry Maguire CB (Out), Eberechi Eze CAM (Out).
Ireland: Will Smallbone CM (Out), Seamus Coleman RB (Out), Shane Duffy CB (Out), Adam Idah FWR (Out), Chiedozie Ogbene RM (Out), Robert Brady LB/LM (Out), Festy Ebosele RB/RM (Questionable).

Not intended for use in MA.
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Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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