Wembley hosts England vs Croatia in the UEFA Nations League on Thursday, with Harry Kane set to become England’s most-capped player. The striker is at the heart of my England vs Croatia predictions, and I expect him to help fire the Three Lions to victory.
England are overwhelming favorites with a 79% chance of winning, compared with 15% for a draw and 8% for a Croatia victory. Kickoff is Thursday, Nov. 12, at 2:45 p.m. ET on Fubo.
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Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps. For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.
England vs Croatia predictions
My England vs Croatia top pick: England -1.5 (58% probability)
Even with Ivan Perisic suspended, Croatia’s biggest issue is age. Star players such as Luka Modric and Mateo Kovacic are too slow and immobile to keep up with an England team that has surrounded Harry Kane with speed, agility, and athleticism.
England overran Croatia in Zagreb, scoring seven goals. Declan Rice and Elliott Anderson can control the game in midfield, freeing Jude Bellingham to exploit Croatia’s lack of mobility in the middle, while Anthony Gordon and Morgan Rogers threaten to isolate the fullbacks out wide. England also have the pace off the bench to break through centrally, particularly against tired legs late in the game.
My England vs Croatia Over/Under pick: Over 3.5 goals (43% probability)
Ballon d’Or winner Kane will be desperate to score on his record-breaking 126th appearance for England. He has scored 91 goals for the Three Lions and already has 14 for club and country this season, including two against Croatia in October.
England have scored 14 goals in four games in this competition, creating plenty of chances, particularly down the flanks. The bigger concern is defensively, where three clean sheets may flatter them. Croatia managed 10 shots in the previous meeting, and with Marc Guehi and Ezri Konsa both injured, England will have an untested center-back partnership that should give the visitors opportunities.
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England vs Croatia combo
England -1.5
Over 3.5 goals
England have the firepower to score plenty of goals, as they’ve shown throughout this competition. They remain vulnerable defensively, though, and Croatia could grab a consolation goal.
England vs Croatia odds
England
CroatiaOdds courtesy of Kalshi.
How to watch England vs Croatia
| Location | Wembley Stadium, London, England |
| Date | Thursday, Nov. 12, 2026 |
| Time | 2:45 p.m. ET |
| TV | Fubo |
| Weather | Clear |
England vs Croatia key injuries
England: Bukayo Saka RW (Out), Marc Guehi CB (Out), Ezri Konsa CB (Out)
Croatia: Josip Sutalo CB (Out), Marin Pongracic CB (Out), Franjo Ivanovic FWR (Out), Kristijan Jakic RB (Out), Ivan Perisic RW (Out)
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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