Atalanta vs Leverkusen Predictions and Picks for Europa League Final

Bayer Leverkusen is having a season for the ages and can add more hardware to the trophy case with a win over Atlanta in the Europa League Final on Wednesday. We break down the matchup and more in our betting preview below.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
May 22, 2024 • 11:35 ET • 4 min read
Florian Wirtz Bayer Leverkusen Europa League Final
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

We’re set for an exciting Europa League Final this afternoon, with Atalanta facing off against Bayer Leverkusen. 

The Germans have enthralled the soccer world with their style of play and remain unbeaten this season, and our Atalanta vs Leverkusen prediction expects them to win.

We break down the matchup, Europa League odds, and more in our free betting picks below. 

Atalanta vs Leverkusen picks and predictions

My best bet:
Bayer Leverkusen to win (-122 at TonyBet)

My analysis
We’ve seen the status of the Europa League continue to grow in recent years and on Wednesday, we’re set to see a fascinating matchup that will have the soccer world watching on. 

Atalanta come into this fifth in Serie A with two games remaining that could see them end as high as third. They’ve been on a great run of form too, winning seven of their last nine games.

Sadly, their sole defeat in that time was to Juventus in the Coppa Italia Final, which would have been their first win since 1963. They’ve never won a European title and victory here would be truly historic for the Nerazzurri. Unfortunately, they face a Leverkusen side that's swept away everyone in its path this season.

It feels a long time since Leverkusen won the Bundesliga but over recent weeks, it’s been fascinating seeing them manage to keep hold of their incredible unbeaten season. Two of their past five Bundesliga games have finished level but given they’d win the league, it’s not a surprise. This game truly matters and given the evidence from their performances this season, it’s one they'll win. 

Leverkusen come into this game with no injury concerns, meaning we'll be seeing their best lineup. That’ll mean their impressive wingbacks overlapping, the strong midfield partnership of Granit Xhaka, reborn in Germany, and Exequiel Palacios.

Their best player Florian Wirtz will be playing in behind Victor Boniface, the Nigerian who had 22 goal contributions in just 23 Bundesliga games and five goals and an assist in his seven Europa League appearances this year.

It's no secret the world’s biggest clubs have been looking at Xabi Alonso as their next potential manager, such has been the incredible job he’s done at the club. This game could be his masterpiece and a win here will showcase why he’s the most coveted young manager on the planet.

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Atalanta vs Leverkusen same-game parlay (SGP)

Bayer Leverkusen to win

Florian Wirtz to score or assist

Ederson to get booked

We’re also backing Florian Wirtz to either score or set up a Leverkusen goal. The 21-year-old has been sensational for his club this season, racking up 11 goals and 11 assists in the Bundesliga. He’s been just as impressive in Europe, with four goals and four assists in his 10 Europa League appearances this season.

To wrap up the SGP, we’re taking Ederson to get booked. Atalanta’s Brazilian midfielder has been a key part of their team this season, with 35 Serie A appearances, in which he’s been booked eight times. He’s at his best when tackling and breaking up the opposition, but in a game of this stature, he might come unstuck.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Atalanta vs Leverkusen odds

Atalanta vs Leverkusen live odds

Atalanta vs Leverkusen opening odds

  • Moneyline: Atalanta +275 | Leverkusen -125
  • Draw: +333
  • Over/Under: Over 2.5 | Under 2.5

Atalanta vs Leverkusen side and Over/Under analysis

  • Bayer Leverkusen are -122 favorites to win inside 90 minutes, with Atalanta at +340 and the draw at +280. Leverkusen are -251 to lift the trophy; Atlanta is +179.

  • Leverkusen haven’t lost a game all season, while Atlanta have won seven of their last nine games in all competitions. 

  • The total of 2.5 goals is a pick'em at -109 aside. 

  • The Over 2.5 has landed in 73.5% of Leverkusen’s domestic games this season and 63.9% of Atalanta’s league games.

Atalanta vs Leverkusen game info

Location: Aviva Stadium, Dublin, Ireland
Date: Wednesday, 5-22-2024
Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
TV: CBS Sports

Atalanta vs Leverkusen key injuries

Atalanta: Emil Holm RM (Out), Sead Kolasinac DEF (Out), Marten de Roon CM (Out).
Leverkusen: No key injuries to report. 

Not intended for use in MA.
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