Arsenal vs PSG Predictions & Picks for Tuesday’s Champions League Match

Arsenal and PSG combined for one goal in their first UCL matchdays, but our soccer betting picks see those results as fluky and expect the offense to pick up here.

Emanuel Rosu - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Emanuel Rosu • Betting Analyst
Sep 30, 2024 • 09:56 ET • 4 min read
Kai Havertz Arsenal UCL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Arsenal and PSG look to unleash their goal-scoring potential in this highly-anticipated Champions League clash on Tuesday.

There should be plenty of entertainment at both ends, as neither side will settle for leftovers in this match. Their below-par scoring performances on Matchday 1 are set to become a distant memory, as I explain in my Arsenal vs. PSG predictions and free betting picks for Tuesday, October 1.

Arsenal vs PSG picks and predictions

My best bet:
Over 2.5 (-133 at Betano)

My analysis

If you're looking for teams that love attacking, then look no further as Arsenal vs. PSG has “goals” written all over it.

Arsenal head into this clash unbeaten in four European matches against PSG (1-0-3). PSG aims to eliminate that 0-fer, as Arsenal is the opponent they faced the most times without winning. It could go either way this time, so I feel opting for the Over makes more sense.

Despite settling for a goalless draw in Bergamo on Champions League Matchday 1, Arsenal have been involved in three high-scoring games over the past nine days. They drew 2-2 away at Premier League champions Man City on September 22 before two six-goal thrillers against Bolton in the League Cup (5-1) and Leicester (4-2) in the Premiership.

Arteta's men are keen on making a statement against PSG, but the French champions will be on a mission in London as well.

Despite losing Mbappe, PSG are cruising in French Ligue 1. They are first after six matches (5-0-1), scoring 20 times and conceding once. If they find a way to convert the multiple chances they create, they can be a Champions League contender even in the post-Mbappe era.

They are constantly sending more than 20 shots per game, including 26 shots in their 1-0 win over Girona Champions League Matchday 1, indicating that they can easily find solutions to endanger the opposition. Arsenal will play for goals too, so PSG will have space and will aim to harm the hosts.

A juicy +177 return for Over 3.5 goals can also be considered and even the +390 for the Over 4.5 goals might be reachable on this occasion for the most adventurous punters.

Arsenal vs PSG same-game parlay (SGP)

Over 2.5

Both teams to score - Yes

Under 5.5 yellow cards

This match is expected to be a viewer's delight, so even neutral fans should be drawn in to watch along as Arsenal and PSG put up their attacking displays at the Emirates on Tuesday.

The ref chosen for this match is Slovenian official Slavko Vincic. He hasn't shown more than five yellow cards in any of his previous seven games he was in charge of, so it looks like a solid option to go for the Under 5.5 bookings to round up a nice SGP.

Both Arsenal and PSG are creative teams and attack-oriented, so the probability of contacts leading to sanctions is not as high.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Arsenal vs PSG odds

Arsenal vs PSG live odds

Arsenal vs PSG opening odds

  • Moneyline: Arsenal -150 | PSG +400
  • Draw: +275
  • Over/Under: Over 2.5 | Under 2.5

Arsenal vs PSG side and Over/Under analysis

  • Arsenal have seen Over 2.5 goals in their last three home matches against Paris Saint-Germain in all competitions.
  • Surprisingly, Paris Saint-Germain haven’t scored with any of their last 71 shots in the Champions League. They beat Girona on MD1 thanks to a late own goal.
  • PSG have played more UEFA competition games against Arsenal (four) without winning than they have against any other team.

Arsenal vs PSG game info

Location: Emirates Stadium, London, UK
Date: Tuesday, 10-1-2024
Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
TV: Paramount+
Weather: 57F, 14 mph winds, 80% PoP

Arsenal vs PSG key injuries

Arsenal: White RB (out), Tomiyasu RB (out), Zinchenko LB (out), Mikel Merino CM (out), Odegaard AM (out).
PSG: Donnarumma GK (questionable), Lucas Hernández CB (out), Presnel Kimpembe CB (out), Nuno Mendes LB (out), Vitinha CM (questionable), Ousmane Dembele RW (out), Goncalo Ramos ST (out).

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Emanuel Rosu
Betting Analyst

Emanuel Roșu studied public administration but only to have a degree in something. He was always passionate about football. Writing about it, that is, as we've seen him play and he should feel fortunate he never took that road. He is based in Bucharest and has reported on Champions League, Europa League, and European Championship matches for various media outlets in Europe. He wrote stories for The Guardian, BBC, FourFourTwo, and many more. He represents Romania in the vote for the "Ballon d'Or", the most important individual trophy in world football.

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