We're 7-3 over the last two days playing our NHL moneyline picks and just cashed a 7.66x combo last night. Is that good? We're back at it again with a six-game slate tonight. Insert man on fire meme, here.
Tap into my NHL picks for Wednesday, Nov. 11, and let's keep building.
NHL moneyline picks: Nov. 11
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
| Matchup |  Probability |
|---|---|
 Lightning vs  Sabres |
56% |
 Rangers vs  Flames |
58% |
 Flyers vs  Oilers |
66% |
 Mammoth vs  Golden Knights |
55% |
 Penguins vs  Sharks |
56% |
 Predators vs.  Ducks |
56% |
Percentages courtesy of Novig, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Expert NHL moneyline picks: Nov. 11
Lightning vs. Sabres pick: Lightning
The Lightning are an absolute juggernaut, and they're taking on a Sabres team still searching for its identity. Neither team has been particularly impressive on the power play or penalty kill, so this matchup will likely be decided at even strength and between the pipes. That's where Andrei Vasilevskiy and the Lightning hold a significant edge - Tampa leads the league in expected goals against at even strength, we'll take it.
Rangers vs. Flames pick: Rangers
The Flames simply can't score, averaging just 2.56 goals per game while ranked 22nd in expected goals. Against a strong defensively structured team in New York, that ain't going to cut it.
Flyers vs. Oilers pick: Oilers
We found our hydrogen bomb vs. coughing baby meme. My word, this could get ugly fast.
Pick your poison with how you want to handicap this one, but I'm backing the team with the best shooting percentage in hockey and the third-ranked power play (32.4%). Philly simply doesn't have the firepower to keep pace with Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, and with backup netminder Dan Vladar expected to get the nod, this has all the makings of a blowout.
Mammoth vs. Golden Knights pick: Golden Knights
By far the best game on the slate, but we're rolling with ol' reliable and the Golden Knights.
Two top-10 power plays are going head-to-head, but I'm giving Vegas the edge. Utah has been a disaster on the penalty kill all season, operating at a miserable 69% clip. That's a recipe for disaster against one of the most dangerous power-play units in hockey.
Penguins vs. Sharks pick: Penguins
Welcome to the worst game on the slate, but if you've been following, you know we love to handicap Dumpster Cups.
We're siding with the Penguins in this one; the Sharks are third-worst in hockey in expected goals against per 60, and while Yarsolav Askarov has been serviceable in net, the team in front of him has not, allowing the fourth-most high-danger shots against. Give me Sid the Kid.
Predators vs. Ducks pick: Ducks
The Predators are playing some tremendous hockey right now, but they're coming in off a back-to-back with their backup goaltender taking on a Ducks offense that isn't slowing down for anyone anytime soon. Anaheim has won five straight, scoring at least five goals in every game. Cutter Gauthier has scored 13 goals over his last six games. Insane. Quack, quack, quack.
Today's NHL moneyline combo
Golden Knights moneyline
Oilers moneyline
Rangers moneyline
Can we win two straight combos? Why not us. The Oilers have a massive firepower advantage over the Flyers, with Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl leading the charge against a team that simply can't match their offensive ceiling. Vegas gets a significant special-teams edge against Utah's struggling penalty kill, while the Rangers have the goaltending and defensive structure to grind out a win. Let's go out and get it.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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