Two of the league's best teams clash when the Minnesota Wild (55%) face the Montreal Canadiens tonight at the Bell Centre.
Minnesota's dominant top line has been a driving force for its success, and my Wild vs. Canadiens prediction is looking at star winger Matt Boldy for Over 3.5 shots on goal.
Let's dive deeper into my NHL picks for Tuesday, Nov. 10.
Wild vs Canadiens prediction: Wild moneyline
I’m on the Minnesota Wild up to 57%.
The Wild trail only the Hurricanes in score-adjusted xGF%, controlling 59.5% across all situations.
The Montreal Canadiens sit 19th in xGF%. While their 5-on-5 profile is strong, they are one of the league’s most undisciplined teams, and consistent shorthanded minutes have led to a worse process.
Parading to the box will get them into trouble against the Wild, who are loaded with firepower and rank top-7 in shots, expected goals, and goals per 60 on the man advantage.
Factor in Jesper Wallstedt leads the league in Goals Saved Above Expected, and the Wild are a lot to deal with.
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Wild vs Canadiens combo
I like the Wild to get back in the win column, and their big guns should once again drive the bus offensively.
Montreal sits 20th in 5-on-5 shot suppression over the past 10 games and spends a lot of time shorthanded. That bodes well for Matt Boldy, the NHL’s leading shot-generator.
Joel Eriksson Ek is attached to Boldy's and Kirill Kaprizov's hips, and has points in 13 of 16 games since being promoted to a loaded top line.
Wild vs Canadiens combo
- Minnesota Wild moneyline
- Matt Boldy Over 3.5 shots
- Joel Eriksson Ek Over 0.5 points
TOP PICK
Wild vs Canadiens player prop: Matt Boldy Over 3.5 shots
Playable to 56%.
Boldy leads the league in shots on goal and is first on the Wild by a country mile, sitting 19 shots ahead of Eriksson Ek.
He is generating shots efficiently at 5-on-5 and is also the go-to shooter on the power play. That’s especially important in this matchup as the Canadiens sit 31st in shorthanded time per game.
Boldy has averaged 4.8 shots on 9.2 attempts against bottom-12 shot-suppression teams, and his volume has spiked to 5.8 shots over four games following two days of rest.
COVERS INTEL: The Canadiens have spent the second-most time shorthanded. That should provide a clear boost for Boldy, who ranks fourth among all players in power-play shot attempts.Wild vs Canadiens goal scorer: Matt Boldy
Playable to 42%.
We’re backing Boldy to generate a ton of shot volume so it only makes sense to target him for a goal.
Boldy scored in 45% of his appearances last season. That number sits at 26% this year despite ranking first in SOG and fifth in expected goals.
He’s generating a ton at full-strength and Montreal’s proneness to penalties should lead to extra power play opportunities with more time and space to operate.
- Top picks: 22-26,-8.51 units
- Combos: 9-38, -6.24 units
Wild vs Canadiens odds
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
- Moneyline: Wild 55% | Canadiens 46%
- Over/Under: Over 6.5 (47%) | Under 6.5 (54%)
- Spread: Wild -1.5 (32%) | Canadiens +1.5 (69%)
For the full slate of NHL matchups, check out our NHL odds board!
Wild vs Canadiens trend
Minnesota has won nine of the past 10 head-to-head meetings. Find more NHL betting trends.
How to watch Wild vs Canadiens
| Location | Bell Centre, Montreal |
| Date | Tuesday, Nov. 10, 2026 |
| Puck drop | 7 p.m. ET |
| TV | SN+, ESPN+ |
Wild vs Canadiens latest injuries
Check out our NHL injuries page for updates on every team.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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