Arttur Lehkonen has points in 14 of his last 15 games following two days of rest.
Now taking on a struggling Toronto Maple Leafs defense, Lehkonen is in a prime spot to find the scoresheet and is a top target with my NHL predictions.
Let's take a closer look at my full slate of NHL picks for Tuesday, Nov. 10.
Today's top NHL predictions
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
| Pick |  Probability |
|---|---|
 Artturi Lehkonen Over 0.5 points |
52% |
 Seth Jones Over 1.5 shots |
55% |
 Moritz Seider Over 1.5 shots |
58% |
Percentages courtesy of Novig, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Pick #1: Artturi Lehkonen Over 0.5 points
Artturi Lehkonen is a point target up to 59%.
He's averaged more than 4.0 points per 60 minutes of 5-on-5 play since Martin Necas joined him and Nathan MacKinnon on the Colorado Avalanche's top line.
They are the league’s most efficient scoring trio, and they have a mouthwatering matchup against a Toronto Maple Leafs team sitting 29th in 5-on-5 goals against per 60.
Rest is the cherry on top. Colorado had the last two days off, and Lehkonen has points in all six games this season following two days off.
Dating back to last season, Lehkonen hit the scoresheet in 14 of the past 15 games after two rest days.
- Matchup: Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs
- Time: 7 p.m. ET
- Location: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
- TV: TSN4, ALT
Pick #2: Seth Jones Over 1.5 shots
I’m backing Seth Jones for 2+ shots to 62%.
The Florida Panthers have generated 35.19 shots on goal per 60 minutes with Jones on the ice, well above last year’s output of 30.22.
Florida is deeper and healthier, allowing them to spend more time on attack. Jones is their most talented offensive defenseman and top minute-muncher, making him a prime beneficiary.
He has predictably seen an uptick in shot volume, averaging 2.5 shots on 5.1 attempts while clearing this line at a 67% clip.
The Columbus Blue Jackets have conceded more shots to defensemen than anyone else over their last 10 games, and I expect Jones will take advantage.
- Matchup: Panthers vs. Blue Jackets
- Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Nationwide Arena, Columbus, Ohio
- TV: SN, ESPN+
Pick #3: Moritz Seider Over 1.5 shots
Moritz Seider is playable for Over 1.5 shots to 61%.
The St. Louis Blues bleed shots to the right point, ranking 22nd in shot suppression this season and 26th over the last 10 games.
Unsurprisingly, they’re giving up a lot of shots to defensemen, as only four teams have conceded more shots per game to the position.
Seider is tied for fifth on the Detroit Red Wings in shot attempts, averaging 5.8 per game on two days of rest after producing 5.7 per game under those circumstances a year ago.
That’s heavy volume for Seider, who has generated 2+ SOG in 26 of his past 30 games when attempting at least four shots.
- Matchup: Red Wings vs. Blues
- Time: 8 p.m. ET
- Location: Enterprise Center, St. Louis
- TV: SN+, TNT
- Top picks: 24-32, -14.38 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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