Blackhawks vs Flyers Odds, Picks, and Predictions Tonight: Chicago's Phenom Strikes in Philly

Considering Connor Bedard is riding a mini-goal drought into tonight's action, there's no better time to back the 18-year-old's player props. Tony Sartori breaks it all down in our Blackhawks vs. Flyers betting picks.

Tony Sartori - Contributor at Covers.com
Tony Sartori • Betting Analyst
Mar 30, 2024 • 12:44 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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The Philadelphia Flyers host the Chicago Blackhawks in the evening portion of Saturday’s slate. NHL odds have Philadelphia as a heavy –245 favorite while the total sits at six.

At this point of the campaign, there is nothing left for Chicago except for prospect evaluation. Meanwhile, the Flyers look to hold onto their third-place seed in the Metro.

Find out where the best bet for this one lies in my free NHL picks for Blackhawks vs. Flyers on March 30

Blackhawks vs Flyers odds

Blackhawks vs Flyers predictions

One of the few, and boy do I mean very few, bright spots for the Chicago Blackhawks this season has been the play of likely Calder Trophy winner Connor Bedard. He hovers right around the point-per-game mark, which is particularly impressive given his age and surrounding cast this season.

He is currently riding a mini-goal drought, which isn’t saying a whole lot considering he has scored four goals over his past nine games. Still, we are catching an opportunity to buy low on Bedard to find the back of the net at +210 via FanDuel, which is a particularly good line considering that it is 30 cents longer than the rest of the market at the time of writing.

If anyone from the Hawks is going to score, it is likely going to be Bedard. I think the probability of this happening is higher than the odds suggest, especially with goaltender Samuel Ersson slated to guard the cage for the Philadelphia Flyers.

It has been a difficult sophomore campaign for Ersson, who possesses a .895 SV% through 44 appearances in the crease. He has now allowed three or more goals in four of his past six starts, posting a fade-worthy .861 SV% and 3.57 GAA over that stretch.

It’s also worth noting that Bedard serves as the primary triggerman on the first power play unit. I mention this because the Flyers rank 27th in the league in penalty minutes taken per game.

My best bet: Connor Bedard anytime goalscorer (+210 at FanDuel)

Blackhawks vs Flyers same-game parlay

Connor Bedard anytime goalscorer

Over 5.5

Obviously, there is a correlation between Bedard's scoring and there being at least six total goals scored in this game. We just need Bedard and company to score two or more, because Philadelphia is likely to have a field day against this Chicago team.

The Blackhawks bleed high-danger scoring chances at a high rate, ranking 26th in expected goals against per 60 minutes (xGA/60). Backing up this poor blue line is goaltender Arvid Soderblom, who is confirmed to start between the pipes for the Hawks on Saturday.

Through 27 appearances in the crease this season, Soderblom is 4-20-1 with a fade-worthy .875 SV% and 4.02 GAA.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Blackhawks vs Flyers moneyline and Over/Under analysis

  • At DraftKings, Philadelphia opened as a –270 favorite before being bet down to its current price of –245.
  • This line movement is not a proclamation of Chicago’s abilities, but rather a re-adjustment to the fact that Ersson and the Flyers should not be laying nearly three dollars against anyone.
  • The total can be found anywhere between 5.5 and 6.0, but considering the Soderblom/Ersson matchup, the line O/U should increase as puck drop looms. 
  • There have been six or more total goals scored in five of the Hawks’ past nine games.

Blackhawks vs Flyers betting trend to know

Ersson has allowed three or more goals in four of his past six starts. Find more NHL betting trends for Blackhawks vs. Flyers.

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Blackhawks vs Flyers game info

Location: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA
Date: Saturday, March 30, 2024
Puck drop: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: NBCSCH, NBCSP

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Tony Sartori - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Tony Sartori has written over 1,000 pieces of sports betting content across multiple different media outlets. He covers the NHL, UFC, PGA, NFL and MLB. Tony started part-time while attending the University of Wisconsin-Madison, where he went on to receive a B.A. in Economics and a certificate in Entrepreneurship in 2022. He continues to work full-time in the sports betting landscape.

Due to the variety of sports he covers, Tony is handicapping every day. If he had one piece of betting advice for a new sports bettor, it would be to strictly enforce bankroll management rules for yourself. If you set aside $10,000 for your betting bankroll, then you should generally only be betting between $100 - $500 per play.

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