Avalanche vs Stars Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL Game

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst +12 years betting experience
Updated: Mar 6, 2026 , 10:03 AM ET • 3 min read

Expect Nathan MacKinnon to dominate Dallas again tonight, per our NHL betting picks.

NHL

Match starts: 3 hrs
COL
49 %
DAL
51 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Nathan MacKinnon o0.5  Goals Scored (-110) Nathan MacKinnon o0.5 Goals Scored (-110)
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Colorado Avalanche NHL Nathan MacKinnon
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Colorado Avalanche center Nathan MacKinnon (29) controls the puck.

Nathan MacKinnon is one of the league’s most productive players, and he always takes it up a notch against Dallas.

My Avalanche vs. Stars predictions expect the trigger-happy MacKinnon to find the net against his division rival for the sixth consecutive game.

Let’s break down my NHL picks for Friday, March 6.

Avalanche vs Stars prediction

Avalanche vs Stars best bet: Nathan MacKinnon anytime goal (-110)

Nathan MacKinnon has piled up the shots since returning from the Olympics, generating 25 shots on goal and 36 attempts over four games.

The volume should remain strong against the Dallas Stars, a division rival he’s excelled against over the years. He's generated 50 shots on target over his past 10 meetings with Dallas and scored in seven of the last eight.

With consistently strong shot outputs and the highest conversion rate of his career (15.2%), MacKinnon is a big threat to score.

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Avalanche vs Stars same-game parlay

Colorado Avalanche forward Martin Necas has picked up a point in eight of the last nine games in which MacKinnon scored.

Necas helps facilitate a lot of MacKinnon’s shot volume at 5-on-5 and on the power play, making the two players strongly correlated.

Mavrik Bourque has played six games without both Tyler Seguin and Mikko Rantanen in the lineup. He’s registered multiple shots on goal in each, averaging 3.7 shots on 5.0 attempts.

He’s an efficient, shoot-first player who has benefited greatly from an increase in usage.

Avalanche vs Stars SGP

  • Nathan MacKinnon anytime goal
  • Martin Necas Over 0.5 assists
  • Mavrik Bourque Over 1.5 shots on goal

Avalanche vs Stars odds

  • Moneyline: Colorado -125 | Dallas +105
  • Puck line: Colorado -1.5 (+190) | Dallas -1.5 (+180)
  • Over/Under: Over 6.5 (+115) | Under 6.5 (-135)

Avalanche vs Stars trend

Nathan MacKinnon has scored in five consecutive games against Dallas. Find more NHL betting trends for Avalanche vs. Stars.

How to watch Avalanche vs Stars

Location American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
Date Friday, March 6, 2026
Puck drop 8:00 p.m. ET
TV ALT, Victory+

Avalanche vs Stars latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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