The New York Knicks are a heavy 15.5-point home favorite tonight as they welcome the Milwaukee Bucks to Madison Square Garden, with tipoff scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET.
I'm not loving such a large spread, which is why my Bucks vs Knicks prediction will focus on the total as part of my NBA picks for Tuesday, Nov. 10. I expect New York to keep Milwaukee's inconsistent offense in check.
Bucks vs Knicks prediction: Under 220.5
Play up to 57%.
I'm backing the Under on 220.5 at Madison Square Garden tonight. While the Milwaukee Bucks have been vulnerable defensively, the New York Knicks play at the slowest pace in the Association, averaging just 97.2 possessions per contest.
New York is also outstanding defensively, allowing an NBA-low 104.2 points per game. That's a tough matchup for a Milwaukee offense averaging just 108.4 points per night.
The Knicks haven't been particularly explosive offensively either, averaging 109.9 PPG themselves (23rd). I expect New York to control the tempo and limit Milwaukee's scoring opportunities, keeping this matchup below the total.
COVERS INTEL: Milwaukee is allowing opposing guards to shoot 38.4% from 3-point range, the NBA's fifth-highest mark.
Bucks vs Knicks combo
Along with the Under, I'm eyeing Jalen Brunson and OG Anunoby to be effective offensively.
Brunson is averaging 26.2 ppg across nine appearances, and he remains the top option for the Knicks with a 31.8% usage rate. The guard has cleared this line in consecutive games, dropping 33 against the Bulls before balling out for another 31 points on Nov. 7 against Cleveland.
While Anunoby is shooting just 29.3% from downtown, he's found more success lately. The veteran has cashed the Over in two of his previous three outings, and the Bucks are allowing 2.6 makes per game to power forwards from 3-point land.
Bucks vs Knicks combo
- Under 220.5
- Jalen Brunson Over 24.5 points
- OG Anunoby Over 2.5 threes
Bucks vs Knicks player props
Bucks player prop: Myles Turner Over 9.5 points
Play up to 54%.
Myles Turner isn't exactly an offensive powerhouse, averaging just 7.1 PPG across 10 outings. But he's cashed the Over on his points prop in three of his last five contests and cleared 10 points in back-to-back appearances on the road.
One of the main reasons I like this pick is because of New York's vulnerability from deep against centers. The Knicks are allowing opposing bigs to shoot 50% from deep, and Turner has taken four-plus triples in three of his previous four games. Just a couple of makes gets him close to the Over.
Plus, Tyler Herro is questionable tonight, which means Turner could get a more significant offensive role as a result.
TOP PICK
Knicks player prop: Jalen Brunson Over 2.5 threes
Play up to 56%.
Brunson's volume from long range has been skyrocketing lately, making this prop very appealing, especially at such a great price. Over his last five contests, the Knicks superstar has attempted at least 10 triples in four games, and he's hit the Over in every outing.
With growing confidence from the perimeter, Brunson is consistently letting it fly. He's also shooting an impressive 43.8% from beyond the arc during that span. The Bucks are around the middle of the pack in the Association at defending the three-ball, and they've been vulnerable against point guards, who are averaging 3.5 makes from downtown.
Brunson will get hot at MSG.
- Top picks: 11-10, -1.47 units
- Combos: 1-19, -9.50 units
- Props: 14-11, 0.42 units
Bucks vs Knicks odds
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
- Spread: Bucks +15.5 | Knicks -15.5
- Over/Under: Over 220.5 | Under 220.5
- Moneyline: Bucks 10% | Knicks 91%
For the full slate of NBA matchups, check out our NBA odds board!
Bucks vs Knicks trend
The Under is 4-0 in Bucks' last four games as an underdog. Find more NBA betting trends.
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How to watch Bucks vs Knicks
| Location | Madison Square Garden, New York City, NY |
| Date | Tuesday, Nov. 10, 2026 |
| Tip off | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | Bucks+, MSG |
Bucks vs Knicks latest injuries
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