Avalanche vs Kings Prediction, Picks & Odds for Thursday's NHL Playoffs Game 3

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst 16+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 22, 2026 , 05:00 PM ET • 3 min read

Parker's prediction: Necas plays leading role in Colorado offensive breakout.

NHL

Match starts: 27 hrs
COL
48 %
LA
52 %
Read Analysis
Colorado Avalanche NHL winger Martin Necas.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Colorado Avalanche winger Martin Necas.

Will the move to Crypto.com Arena be enough for the Los Angeles Kings to top the Colorado Avalanche on Thursday, April 23?

My top Avalanche and Kings predictions and NHL picks think otherwise. The Avs have dominated the play throughout the first two games of the series, and I’m anticipating the Colorado offense to fill the net in Game 3.

Avalanche vs Kings Game 3 prediction

Avalanche vs Kings best bet: Avalanche moneyline (-155)

Hats off to the Los Angeles Kings for holding the Colorado Avalanche largely in check through the first two games of the series, but the levee breaks in Game 3.

Colorado has driven the play and been the more dangerous team with a 56.2 CF% and 59.3 xGF% at five-on-five, and the Avs have limited the Kings to just two goals, 5.69 expected goals, and 20 high-danger scoring chances through two games.

Additionally, as noted, I’m anticipating the Colorado offense to solve Los Angeles goalie Anton Forsberg in Game 3. His .901 save percentage across 124 games the past four years is solid, but unspectacular, and it’s also far more reflective of the skillset than his .939 mark in Round 1.

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Avalanche vs Kings Game 3 same-game parlay

While I’m anticipating the statistical correction ahead of Forsberg to be a driving force in this Game 3 total going Over the number, Avs starter Scott Wedgewood isn’t going to maintain his own high level of play through the entire series. He’s sporting an equally unsustainable .960 SV% with 3.69 goals saved above expected through two games.

Colorado winger Martin Necas rounds out the same-game parlay, and he’s been held to a single assist despite being on the ice for 4.93 expected goals through two games. So, after hitting 100 points during the regular season, I’m expecting the Czech star to mark the scoresheet on Thursday.

Avalanche vs Kings SGP

  • Avalanche -1.5
  • Over 5.5
  • Martin Necas Over 0.5 points

Avalanche vs Kings Game 3 goal scorer pick

Martin Necas (+195)

Sticking with Colorado winger Martin Necas, he's paced the club in individual expected goals during the series (1.22), and he’s also failed to find the back of the net in five consecutive games dating back to the regular season despite recording 17 shots and eight high-danger scoring chances. After scoring 38 times during the regular season, Necas breaks through and finds the back of the net in Game 3.

Avalanche vs Kings odds for Game 3

  • Moneyline: Avalanche -155 | Kings +130
  • Puck Line: Avalanche -1.5 (+160) | Kings +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under: Over 5.5 (-115) | Under 5.5 (-105)

Avalanche vs Kings trend

The Colorado Avalanche have won 14 of their last 15 away games (+12.20 Units / 49% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Avalanche vs. Kings.

How to watch Avalanche vs Kings Game 3

Location Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
Date Thursday, April 23, 2026
Puck drop 10:00 p.m. ET
TV TNT

Avalanche vs Kings latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

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