The Week 7 schedule wraps up with the Houston Texans visiting the Seattle Seahawks at Lumen Field tonight. ESPN has coverage beginning at 10:00 p.m. ET.
While Houston flipped the script with consecutive wins leading into its bye week, my Texans vs. Seahawks predictions and free NFL picks call for Seattle to cover the number on Monday, October 20.
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Texans vs Seahawks prediction
Texans vs Seahawks Best bet: Seahawks -3 (-110)
The Seattle Seahawks have been a statistical darling through six games, and the two wins for the Houston Texans have come unimpressively against the 1-5 Tennessee Titans and Ravens, without star quarterback Lamar Jackson (hamstring).
Houston QB C.J. Stroud also threw for a pedestrian 6.7 yards per attempt and a 64.0% completion rate across the first three games, so his solid showings against the Titans and Ravens aren’t nearly as impressive.
On the opposite sideline, Seattle has received elite quarterback play from Sam Darnold.
He’s aired it out for a league-high 9.3 yards per attempt while ranking second in both PFF offense grade and passing grade. Add pacing the NFL in adjusted EPA per play, and it’s been an eye-popping start in The Emerald City for Darnold.
Quickly returning to Stroud and the Texans, the Houston offensive line is a concern. The Texans rank 22nd in pass block win rate and 31st in run block win rate, so I'm anticipating a solid Seattle stop unit to give Stroud and the Houston attack trouble.
The Seahawks have allowed the sixth-fewest points per game to start the season, while ranking seventh in defensive DVOA and 11th in PFF defense grade, after all.
Finally, I’m happy to back the superior quarterback at home with this spread at the key number of 3 because Seattle -3.5 looms and has already been tested this week.
Texans vs Seahawks MNF same-game parlay
A huge reason Darnold has played so well is because of No. 1 wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba. The third-year wideout has caught 42 of 55 targets for 696 yards, and he’s topped this 84.5 total in five of six games.
Smith-Njigba boasts a high-end 13.1 aDoT while garnering an elite 36.1% target share, too.
In fact, his numbers look similar to the sterling statistics of teammate Cooper Kupp during his 2021 masterclass.
Playing second fiddle hasn’t been all bad for Kupp, though. The veteran has quietly caught 23 of 32 targets for 261 yards and 11.3 per reception on a healthy 21.3% target share.
I expect Darnold to lean on his two best receivers under the bright lights of Monday Night Football.
Texans vs Seahawks SGP
- Seahawks moneyline
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 84.5 receiving yards
- Cooper Kupp Over 40.5 receiving yards
Our big-ticket SGP: X Marks the spot
Houston running back Woody Marks has led the backfield in snaps in consecutive weeks and has caught six of his nine targets for 96 yards for the season.
Texans vs Seahawks SGP
- Seahawks -3
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 84.5 receiving yards
- Cooper Kupp Over 40.5 receiving yards
- Woody Marks Over 13.5 receiving yards
Texans vs Seahawks odds
- Spread: Texans +3 (+100) | Seahawks -3 (-120)
- Moneyline: Texans +150 | Seahawks -180
- Over/Under: Over 41 | Under 41
Late money has come in on the Seahawks and the Under. Seattle moved from -162 to -180 on the moneyline earlier today, while the total dipped from 42.
Texans vs Seahawks game predictions
Texans vs Seahawks moneyline prediction
These are two good defenses, so I’m anticipating quarterback play to be a deciding factor on Monday Night Football. Additionally, with the Houston offensive line a major question mark, Darnold is positioned to outduel Stroud on Monday Night Football.
Texans vs Seahawks spread prediction
In addition to the highlighted strong play from the Seattle defense, Houston has been even better statistically. The Texans have allowed the fewest points per game while ranking fourth in defensive DVOA and ninth in PFF defense grade. Houston has also played to the Under in 15 of its past 21 games.
Texans vs Seahawks Over/Under prediction
In addition to the highlighted strong play from the Seattle defense, Houston has been even better statistically. The Texans have allowed the fewest points per game while ranking fourth in defensive DVOA and ninth in PFF defense grade. Houston has also played to the Under in 15 of its past 21 games.
Texans vs Seahawks betting trend to know
The Texans have only hit the Over in six of their last 21 games (-9.40 Units / -41% ROI). Find more NFL betting trends for Texans vs. Seahawks.
How to watch Texans vs Seahawks
| Location | Lumen Field, Seattle, WA |
| Date | Monday, October 20, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Learn how to live stream Texans vs. Seahawks for free.
Texans vs Seahawks latest injuries
Texans vs Seahawks weather
Expect cool fall conditions tonight in Seattle with temperatures beginning around 57 °F (14 °C) and gradually dipping to about 53 °F (12 °C) by midnight. Cloud cover will dominate early in the evening, with intermittent breaks and a shift toward clearer skies later on. Winds are expected to remain light, so there should be minimal impact from breezes, and there’s no significant precipitation forecasted.
The cool but stable weather means both teams can focus on their game plan without worrying too much about elements like rain or heavy wind. The slight chill may favor defenses a bit as offensive players will need to stay loose and keep their hands warmed up, especially receivers and quarterbacks in the final drives.
Given the consistent conditions, you’ll likely see a clean contest with fewer weather-related mistakes. That said, if either team plans to push a lot of deep passes late at night, the lower temperatures might subtly affect ball flight and grip, so short-to-intermediate routes and a strong ground game could carry more weight.
Monitor gametime conditions with our live NFL weather info and learn how weather impacts NFL betting.
More Texans vs Seahawks predictions for Monday Night Football
- Texans vs. Seahawks props
- Texans vs. Seahawks same game parlay
- Texans vs. Seahawks anytime touchdown scorer picks
- Texans vs. Seahawks computer picks
- Sam Darnold odds and props
- Free NFL picks and predictions
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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