Sam Darnold Picks, Predictions & Best Bets for Monday Night Football

Sam Darnold will try to lead the Seattle Seahawks to victory when they face off against a ferocious Houston Texans defense on Monday Night Football.

Scoring against Houston has been difficult for any opponent, but I do expect Darnold to move the ball, which is way I’m targeting his yardage prop in my Texas vs. Seahawks predictions.

Let’s look at how I think how his night might play out in my free Sam Darnold odds for Monday, October 20.

Sam Darnold prop pick

Sam Darnold best bet: Over 221.5 passing yards (-110 at bet365)

This game is a battle of strength on strength. Sam Darnold has led a Seattle Seahawks offense that has been one of the best in the league, averaging 2.77 ppg and an NFL-high 6.4 yards per play. Darnold is completing 70.8% of his passes and has 11 touchdowns on the year while averaging 256.8 yards per game through the air.

But on the other side of the ball, the Houston Texans are playing outstanding defense week in and week out. Houston hasn’t given up more than 23 points in any game this year, holding opponents to a league-low 12.2 ppg. It’s hard to find a weakness in this defense, as they’ve been tough against the run and are holding opponents to a 58.8% completion rate through the air.

So who comes out on top in this matchup? Most likely, we’ll land somewhere in the middle. Even the Seahawks will have trouble consistently scoring against this Houston defense, but I do believe Darnold can move the ball. The Seahawks are leading the league in yards per passing attempt (9.2) and completion (13.0), with Darnold throwing for at least 242 yards in each of his last three games.

I won’t bank on Darnold throwing touchdowns or hitting a number of completions against the Texans, but I’m betting that his yardage numbers will continue to impress.

Sam Darnold same-game parlay

Sam Darnold Over 221.5 passing yards

Sam Darnold Over 1.5 passing TDs

Seahawks -2.5

Over 40.5

+410 at bet365

While I have less confidence in Darnold to keep the Seattle scoring engine humming against the Texans, it’s certainly possible – and the Seahawks don’t have to do too much to hit some targets that make for a juicy SGP.

Let’s bet on Darnold to throw at least two touchdown passes, leading the Seahawks to cover and hit the Over at just 40.5 points – all of which are realistic if Darnold has a good day behind center.

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