NFL Week 10 Survivor Best Bets: Eagles Lay the Hurt on Cowboys

Week 10 is upon us and Jason Logan advises to trust the Eagles to stay alive as they take on a depleted Dallas Cowboys side.

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst
Nov 5, 2024 • 14:37 ET • 4 min read
Jalen Hurts Philadelphia Eagles NFL
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It’s a week of big decisions and we’re not just talking about the election.

NFL survivor pools are heading down the home stretch in Week 10 and if you’ve made it this far, you’ve got to be extra calculated about your picks.

I avoided using up the larger chalk in Week 9 and made my way to the Minnesota Vikings, who were able to seal the deal in the second half of their matchup with Indianapolis. 

Unlike some others, I also dodged New Orleans’ faceplant against the Panthers, putting me among the 32 remaining entries in Covers’ 10K Pro Football Survivor contest.

Here’s my Week 10 NFL survivor pool pick and the safest selection, according to the NFL odds.

Teams used: Buffalo, L.A. Chargers, Seattle, Houston, Chicago, Green Bay, Cincinnati, Denver, Minnesota

Best survivor pool bets for Week 10

Click on each pick to read the full analysis.

Covers Week 10 survivor pool pick

Chiefs Philadelphia Eagles

Opponent: at Dallas Cowboys

Moneyline odds: -370 (78.72% implied win probability)

The look-ahead line for this NFC East contest was Dallas -2 in the summer. And even heading into Week 9, bookmakers had the Philadelphia Eagles as a short road favorite. 

But with the Cowboys getting crushed by Atlanta on Sunday and losing QB Dak Prescott and star WR CeeDee Lamb to injury, the Eagles are now laying more than a touchdown in Big D. 

Philadelphia does present some future value with upcoming games against Carolina in Week 14 and a season finale versus New York, but who knows the team’s plans in Week 18. The rest of the schedule looks a lot tighter, so this feels like the right spot to fly with Philly.

The Cowboys could get back some key cogs on defense, like Micah Parsons, but without Dak and CeeDee, the Dallas offense is among the worst in the league. The Eagles, on the other hand, have some names on the injury report in A.J. Brown and Saquon Barkley, but both players are trending toward actives in Week 10.

Safest Week 10 survivor pool pick

Chiefs Kansas City Chiefs

Opponent: vs. Denver Broncos

Moneyline odds: -425 (80.95% implied win probability)

This “safe” pick looked a little safer before the Kansas City Chiefs needed overtime to beat the Buccaneers on Monday night. Yet, even with a downtick in the Week 10 odds, Kansas City is the largest favorite on the board.

This is a tough spot for K.C. with a short turnaround for a divisional opponent and a potential look-ahead spot in play, due to a trip to Buffalo waiting in Week 11. We also have Patrick Mahomes’ aching ankle to consider.

The Denver Broncos got mowed down in Baltimore last Sunday, losing 41-10 while facing a similar-sized spread (+9). The Broncos have been able to hang with mid-tier competition thanks to their defense but back-to-back roadies against the top two teams in the AFC is a hard ask.

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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst “JLo” has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he’s honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.

He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous “NFL Underdogs” column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason’s first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.

On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast – WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio – he’s had his analysis featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers’ flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

His best advice for bettors new and old is “Handicapping isn’t a ‘one size fits all’ process. The impact and importance of information varies from bet to bet. Treat each wager different than the last.”

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