A formidable offense meets a tough defense on Sunday Night Football, and our Rams vs. Broncos expert picks are eyeing two receivers to shine.
Davante Adams just erupted while assuming a larger role with Puka Nacua sidelined, and our experts believe we'll see much of the same tonight. Ditto for Jaylen Waddle, who started slow with a new team before course-correcting quickly.
It's all part of our NFL picks ahead of an 8:20 p.m. ET kickoff (NBC) from the Superdome.
Rams vs Broncos expert picks
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| Expert Pick |  Probability |
|---|---|
 Jason Logan: Matthew Stafford +250 passing yards - No |
55% |
 Josh Inglis: Davante Adams anytime TD |
43% |
 Joe Osborne: Jaylen Waddle 5+ receptions - Yes |
56% |
 Jon Metler: Rams -2.5 |
52% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Jason Logan’s expert pick: Matthew Stafford +250 passing yards - No
Price: 55% at Kalshi
The Denver Broncos boast a great pass rush and a stingy secondary, which will make throwing the ball tough, even if the Los Angeles Rams’ receiving corps wasn’t hurting. Matthew Stafford could be without some top targets, forcing the Rams to lean into the ground game to keep the chains moving.
Los Angeles' run-blocking schemes are the best in the NFL, and rival run games have been bullying the Broncos through two weeks. My projections come in short of 240 passing yards for Stafford on SNF.
For more from Jason Logan, head over to his Rams vs. Broncos prediction.
Josh Inglis' expert pick: Davante Adams anytime TD
Price: 43% at Kalshi
This price might look short, but I have Davante Adams much closer to even money. Stafford basically refused to throw to anyone else last Monday, and now the Rams could be without Puka Nacua and Jordan Whittington again.
Colby Parkinson is also dealing with a knee injury, and he played 70% of the snaps last week while being used heavily as a blocker. Adams just went off for 195 yards and two touchdowns on 10 targets, and he enters this game with a 28% target share.
He's also one of the best red-zone receivers in football. Even with Patrick Surtain on the other side, I don't want to overthink this one. If Stafford keeps feeding Adams, this price should be closer to even money.
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Joe Osborne's expert pick: Jaylen Waddle 5+ receptions - Yes
Price: 56% at Kalshi
Denver’s adjustment from Week 1 to Week 2 was impossible to miss. After Jaylen Waddle managed one catch for two yards on three targets in the opener, the Broncos fed him 10 targets against Jacksonville.
He turned that into eight catches for 138 yards, and the offense has been looking much more efficient. Waddle will be the most competent receiver the Rams have faced up until this point, and he doesn’t need another monster game to reach a modest five catches.
Jon Metler’s expert pick: Rams -2.5
Price: 52% at Kalshi
With the Rams sitting at -2.5, and below the key number of a field goal, give me Los Angeles because I make the visitors closer to a 4-point favorite.
Trent McDuffie is the key player for me in this matchup, and he's been everything the Rams could have hoped for and more since joining the team. Sean Payton and Bo Nix rely heavily on a quick-rhythm passing game, which is exactly why you bring in a player like Waddle.
The problem is that McDuffie possesses the ability to take Waddle out of the game, disrupt those quick reads, and force Nix to work through his progressions. That's not when Nix is at his best.
How to watch Rams vs Broncos
| Location | Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO |
| Date | Sunday, Sept. 27, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 8:20 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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