Don’t look now, but the Kansas City Chiefs are 3-3 after an 0-2 start. Looking to move closer to first place in the AFC West, they’ll host the division rival Las Vegas Raiders who have similar aspirations in a competitive division.
Can the Raiders reel off a second straight win after taking down the Tennessee Titans last week, or will Kansas City build momentum after taking down the Detroit Lions in Week 6?
Here are my best free NFL picks for this Week 7 divisional clash at Arrowhead Stadium.
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Raiders vs Chiefs prediction
Raiders vs Chiefs Best bet: Rashee Rice Over 60.5 receiving yards (-114)
Rashee Rice is going to get involved in his first game of the 2025 season. He suffered an LCL tear in Week 4 of the 2024 season and earned a six-game suspension for his role in a car accident in Dallas.
Despite those setbacks, ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler reports that Rice won’t be eased back into action in Week 7 and that the Kansas City Chiefs “will be allocating a heavy workload for him as soon as possible.”
Rice was phenomenal as a rookie in 2023, nabbing 79 catches for 938 yards and seven scores on 102 targets. He finished with a 29/288/2 line in only three games a season ago before suffering his season-ending injury.
Make no mistake about it, Rice is a stud. He’ll surely be eager to get back on the field after so much time off, and the rust risk is low. He’s been in the practice facility getting up to speed physically and staying up-to-date on the Chiefs’ playbook.
The Las Vegas Raiders are below-average in defending the pass, so this isn’t a particularly tough matchup for Rice. Look for him to make some noise in his first NFL action in over a year.
Raiders vs Chiefs same-game parlay
Kansas City’s biggest woes have come at the receiver position this season, and with Rice back in action, I expect the Chiefs to showcase their healthy array of weapons. That means ample passing yards for Patrick Mahomes.
This is a huge spread. The gulf between these teams may seem cavernous, but divisional games are tough, and the Raiders have covered in four of their last six meetings with the Chiefs, including two straight at Arrowhead as +11 dogs or longer.
Raiders vs Chiefs SGP
- Rashee Rice Over 60.5 receiving yards
- Patrick Mahomes Over 254.5 passing yards
- Raiders +11.5
Our big-ticket SGP: Rice, Rice, Baby!
If Rice is going to be thrown immediately into the offensive gameplan, why shouldn’t we expect a trip to the endzone? He’s scored in one of two career matchups with the Raiders.
Raiders vs Chiefs SGP
- Rashee Rice Over 60.5 receiving yards
- Patrick Mahomes Over 254.5 passing yards
- Raiders +11.5
- Rashee Rice anytime TD scorer
Raiders vs Chiefs odds
- Spread: Las Vegas +11.5 | Kansas City -11.5
- Moneyline: Las Vegas +530 | Kansas City -750
- Over/Under: Over 45.5 | Under 45.5
More NFL picks and odds from Covers
Raiders vs Chiefs trend to know
Las Vegas is 4-2 ATS across its last six head-to-head matchups with Kansas City. Find more NFL betting trends for Raiders vs. Chiefs.
How to watch Raiders vs Chiefs
| Location | Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO |
| Date | Sunday, October 19, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | CBS |
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