Don’t look now, but the Kansas City Chiefs have battled back to 3-3 after an 0-2 start. They’ll try to inch closer to the top of the AFC West when they host the division rival Las Vegas Raiders, who share the same goal in what’s become a tightly contested division.
Can the Raiders reel off a second straight win after taking down the Tennessee Titans last week, or will Kansas City build momentum after taking down the Detroit Lions in Week 6?
Here are my Raiders vs. Chiefs predictions and NFL picks for this Week 7 divisional clash at Arrowhead Stadium.
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Raiders vs Chiefs prediction
Raiders vs Chiefs Best bet: Rashee Rice Over 64.5 receiving yards (-114)
Rashee Rice is going to get involved in his first game of the 2025 season. He suffered an LCL tear in Week 4 of the 2024 season and earned a six-game suspension for his role in a car accident in Dallas.
Despite those setbacks, ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler reports that Rice won’t be eased back into action in Week 7 and that the Kansas City Chiefs “will be allocating a heavy workload for him as soon as possible.”
Rice was phenomenal as a rookie in 2023, nabbing 79 catches for 938 yards and seven scores on 102 targets. He finished with a 29/288/2 line in only three games a season ago before suffering his season-ending injury.
Make no mistake about it, Rice is a stud. He’ll surely be eager to get back on the field after so much time off, and the rust risk is low. He’s been in the practice facility getting up to speed physically and staying up-to-date on the Chiefs’ playbook.
The Las Vegas Raiders are below-average in defending the pass, so this isn’t a particularly tough matchup for Rice. Look for him to make some noise in his first NFL action in over a year.
Raiders vs Chiefs same-game parlay
Kansas City’s biggest woes have come at the receiver position this season, and with Rice back in action, I expect the Chiefs to showcase their healthy array of weapons. That means ample passing yards for Patrick Mahomes.
This is a huge spread. The gulf between these teams may seem cavernous, but divisional games are tough, and the Raiders have covered in four of their last six meetings with the Chiefs, including two straight at Arrowhead as +11 dogs or longer.
Raiders vs Chiefs SGP
- Rashee Rice Over 60.5 receiving yards
- Patrick Mahomes Over 254.5 passing yards
- Raiders +11.5
Our big-ticket SGP: Rice, Rice, Baby!
If Rice is going to be thrown immediately into the offensive game plan, why shouldn’t we expect a trip to the endzone? He’s scored in one of two career matchups with the Raiders.
Raiders vs Chiefs SGP
- Rashee Rice Over 60.5 receiving yards
- Patrick Mahomes Over 254.5 passing yards
- Raiders +11.5
- Rashee Rice anytime touchdown
Raiders vs Chiefs game predictions
Raiders vs Chiefs moneyline prediction
The Chiefs are on a roll, and they’re hot off a convincing win over a strong Lions team. KC has won five of its last six against LV, and this matchup has major implications.
A win for the Chiefs puts them over .500 for the first time and in striking range of the Chargers and Broncos, who are both 4-2. A win for the Raiders puts them at 3-4 and sends the Chiefs to the bottom of the division. The Chiefs won’t let this win slip away.
Raiders vs Chiefs spread prediction
Despite Kansas City’s 5-1 record straight up against the Raiders across the last six head-to-head matchups, Las Vegas has covered four times.
The Raiders have covered in three straight against the Chiefs, including two straight at Arrowhead as double-digit underdogs.
Raiders vs Chiefs Over/Under prediction
I’m counting on Las Vegas keeping this one within striking distance, and that should mean plenty of scoring. Kansas City’s offense has been humming despite multiple injuries, and a fully healthy offense could be lethal.
Raiders vs Chiefs odds
- Spread: Las Vegas +11.5 | Kansas City -11.5
- Moneyline: Las Vegas +530 | Kansas City -750
- Over/Under: Over 45.5 | Under 45.5
More NFL picks and odds from Covers
Raiders vs Chiefs trend to know
The Raiders are 4-2 ATS across their last six head-to-head matchups with the Chiefs. Find more NFL betting trends for Raiders vs. Chiefs.
How to watch Raiders vs Chiefs
| Location | Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO |
| Date | Sunday, October 19, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | CBS |
Raiders vs Chiefs latest injuries
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