Thursday Night Football Computer Picks: Our Best Week 2 Player Prop Projections

Our best player prop picks based on Covers' player prop projections for tonight's matchup between Washington and Green Bay.

Jared Hochman - Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Jared Hochman • Content Manager
Sep 11, 2025 • 12:22 ET • 4 min read
TNF computer picks Jordan Love
Photo By - Imagn Images. Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love (10) drops back to pass.

TNF prop picks for Week 2 features a spicy matchup between two high-powered offenses as Jordan Love and the Green Bay Packers host Jayden Daniels and the Washington Commanders.

Our Covers NFL player prop projections forecast the results for each team's star players, giving you the best computer picks and player props for tonight.

Commanders vs Packers computer picks for Thursday Night Football

Vikings Commanders Vikings Packers
Daniels o46.5 rush yards (-110) Love o229.5 pass yards (-110)
Ekeler Over 21.5 rec yards (-110) Jacobs o12.5 rec yards (-115)
Samuel o53.5 rec yards (-120) Doubs o42.5 rec yards (-110)
Ertz o31.5 rec yards (-120) Kraft o39.5 rec yards (-110)

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Commanders TNF computer picks

Jayden Daniels Over 46.5 rush yards (-110)

Projection: 63.7 yards

Daniels rushed for 68 yards last week, and in facing another fierce pass rush in Green Bay, our projections expect the Commanders QB to rely on his legs once again.

Alternate-total bet
60+ yards (+180) - Showing very strong value, as does 50+ yards at even money.

Austin Ekeler Over 21.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 22.2 yards

Long known as a strong receiving back, the veteran RB is forecast to just go Over his yardage total tonight.

Deebo Samuel Over 53.5 receiving yards (-120)

Projection: 53.7 yards

Another projection that is basically right on his yardage total, our projections expect Deebo to be busy tonight.

Zach Ertz Over 31.5 receiving yards (-120)

Projection: 38.7 yards

Our projections think Daniels will share the ball around, with his tight end also forecasted to go slightly above his receiving total.


More Thursday Night Football picks from Covers


Packers TNF computer picks

Jordan Love Over 229.5 passing yards (-110)

Projection: 244.9 yards

Our projections predict that Love will go above his yardage total on home field tonight.

Josh Jacobs Over 12.5 receiving yards (-115)

Projection: 17.8 yards

While not big on his rushing total (forecasted to go Under his rush total of 78.5), our projections predict Jacobs will do his part in the passing game.

Romeo Doubs Over 42.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 47.7 yards

The Packers have a number of viable passing weapons, but our projections expect Doubs to top his yardage number for the second straight week.

Tucker Kraft Over 39.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 44.2 yards

There's a marginal buffer on Kraft tonight, with a forecasted yardage total about five yards above his posted line.

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Jared Hochman Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Content Manager

Before Jared Hochman joined the Covers team in 2020, he worked for newspaper outlets such as the Chronicle Herald and The Coast, worked in marketing for SkipTheDishes and Vivid Seats, and previously ran a magazine. A journalism graduate from the University of King's College in, Halifax, N.S., "Hoch" brings more than a decade of experience in sports betting, having worked as a freelance handicapper, making appearances on Monumental Sports Network and the Sharp 600 podcast, and now also filling in occasionally as host of Covers' NHL Puck Props. 

Awarded Covers' company MVP for 2023, Jared is an avid bettor of MLB, NFL, NHL, and NBA, while also wagering on some soccer and WNBA. His best advice for sports bettors? Price shop, which is something he does daily across 10 different sportsbook apps.

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