The Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings will begin the 2026 NFL season with a classic NFC North bout at U.S. Bank Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 13, and the Vikings are a short 1.5-point home favorite.
My early Packers vs. Vikings predictions and NFL picks call for Minnesota to cover with the final score coming in Under the number in Week 1.
Packers vs Vikings predictions
For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account
Early Packers vs Vikings spread pick: Vikings -1.5
The Minnesota Vikings blitzed at the highest clip in the NFL last season, and the Green Bay Packers have offensive line concerns with starters Aaron Banks (knee) and Zach Bako-Bewele (knee) both taking limited reps throughout training camp and missing each preseason game.
It’s a major concern because Green Bay quarterback Jordan Love dipped to a pedestrian 41.6% completion percentage for 5.0 yards per target when pressured last season.
Add the Packers missing key starters Josh Jacobs (Reserve-CEL) and Micah Parsons (knee), and Green Bay is incredibly shorthanded in Week 1.
I’m also expecting the Minnesota offense to improve right out of the gate in 2026.
Quarterback Kyler Murray has a top-tier receiver corps at his disposal for the first time of his career, and his 67.1% career completion percentage and mobility will thrive in head coach Kevin O'Connell’s offense.
Start trading with Kalshi today!
Sign up now using our exclusive Kalshi promo code 'COVERS35' and trade $25 on any event contracts to get $35 — including the NFL!
*Eligible U.S. locations only
Early Packers vs Vikings total pick: Under 45.5
This total has crept up to 46.5 at shops, so considering it was as low as 44.5 earlier this summer, this is a fair number to target.
The Green Bay receiving corps lacks the depth of past seasons, and both the passing attack and ground game could be in trouble given the noted offensive line concerns.
The Under hitting in each Packers-Vikings tilt last year at lower totals (41.5 and 36.5) also has my attention.
I expect Minnesota to look to establish the run in Murray’s first start, which will keep the clock churning and limit the offensive possessions and plays to pile up points for both teams.
Packers vs Vikings odds
For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.
- Packers vs Vikings spread: Vikings -1.5
- Packers vs Vikings moneyline: Packers 52%, Vikings 48%
- Packers vs Vikings Over/Under: 45.5
How to watch Packers vs Vikings
- Packers vs Vikings matchup
- Date: Sunday, Sept. 13, 2026, 4:25 p.m. ET
- City: Minneapolis, Minn.
- Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium
- TV: CBS
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
