NFL First Touchdown Props Week 2: Expect More Red-Zone Looks for Likely

With a touchdown and three red-zone targets in Week 1, it's clear Isaiah Likely is here to stay as a key piece of this Ravens offense. He highlights our first touchdown prop picks for Week 2.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Sep 14, 2024 • 10:26 ET • 4 min read
Isaiah Likely Baltimore Ravens NFL
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We’re now into the second week of the NFL season and have already been surprised both positively and negatively by some teams, some showing vulnerabilities and others showing their backfields may be more committee-led than expected.

We dive in with our best first touchdown NFL picks and Week 2 touchdown props below.

Week 2 first touchdown scorer props

Read full analysis of each pick.

Best Week 2 first TD picks

First TD prop bet #1: Isaiah Likely

Best odds: +1,200 at FanDuel

After the NFL season opened up with the Chiefs beating the Baltimore Ravens, we’ve been hearing a lot about the potential demise of Mark Andrews thanks to the performance of Isaiah Likely. It’s far too early to be claiming Andews is no longer TE1 in Baltimore but Likely has certainly demonstrated his ability as a pass catcher.

He saw 12 targets last week and hauled in nine catches but what matters most is that he got three red zone targets, the highest number of any TE in Week 1. He converted that into a single touchdown but it’s clear he’s an important part of this offense and is a big price to score the opener against a poor Las Vegas Raiders offense.

Frist TD prop bet #2: Steelers defense

Best odds: +2,300 at FanDuel

The Pittsburgh Steelers got two picks last week and managed to recover a fumble but were unable to take anything back to the house for a TD. It’s always hard to know exactly when a defensive touchdown will strike but this Denver Broncos game feels as likely as it’ll ever be.

We saw Bo Nix struggle in his NFL debut and now faces one of the league’s best pass rushers in T.J. Watt. Nix was not careful enough with the football last weekend, throwing two interceptions, and if he’s as reckless this time around, there’s a good chance of the football ending up in Pittsburgh's hands.

First TD prop bet #3: J.K. Dobbins

Best odds: +700 at FanDuel

We backed J.K. Dobbins to open the scoring for the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 1, and while he did score first for his team, it was the second of the game thanks to Alexander Mattison of the Raiders. We’re going back to the well in Week 2. 

As we said last week, it’s availability not ability that’s been the issue for Dobbins since he arrived in the NFL but he looked back to his best, finding holes that were created by his offensive line. We know Jim Harbaugh loves to pound the rock and given Dobbins’ 135-yard, one-touchdown game, he’ll be getting a bulk of the carries. 

The Panthers were terrible on offense last week, so we're likely to see the Chargers score first, and hopefully, it’ll be Dobbins powering it home.

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Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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