Week 3 of the preseason is looking like a dress rehearsal for Atlanta, so we'll be riding with them in my Falcons vs. Dolphins predictions.
The Atlanta Falcons come into Friday as 61-cent favorites at Kalshi over the Miami Dolphins, and should have no problem covering the 3.5 spread.
Let's dive into my NFL picks and build our bankroll before the regular season begins.
Falcons vs Dolphins prediction
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
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TOP PICK
Who will win Falcons vs Dolphins: Falcons -3.5
Kevin Stefanski said that the Atlanta Falcons starters will get their reps in Week 3 as a regular-season dress rehearsal, though Tua Tagovailoa is slated to play the first quarter against his old team.
Behind him, Cooper Rush and Jake Strand will see playing time. The duo combined for 298 yards after going 22 of 28 passing — they might see 300-plus in this matchup.
Meanwhile, Jeff Hafley confirmed Quinn Ewers will see heavy action, and the Miami Dolphins' lack of depth is a concern — making the Falcons the safer pick.
Falcons vs Dolphins Over/Under pick: Under 36.5
The lack of depth on the Dolphins is alarming — as is its inability to move the ball through two weeks; there's a chance that unit doesn't find the end zone after putting up just 10 points through two games.
I see this being mostly one-sided, with Rush doing most of the damage for the Falcons.
The Under is 3-1 between these two teams as the preseason finale approaches, and we shouldn't have an issue seeing a fourth hit.
Falcons vs Dolphins live odds
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Falcons vs Dolphins weather
It'll be a perfect night for football in Miami, with partly cloudy skies and temperatures reaching 87 degrees Fahrenheit. The weather should have no impact before or during the game.
How to watch Falcons vs Dolphins
| Location | Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL |
| Date | Friday, Aug.28, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 7 p.m. ET |
| TV | WAGA, WFOR |
Falcons vs Dolphins latest injuries
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