Drake Maye Odds, Picks & Predictions for Texans vs Patriots Today

Get the best Drake Maye odds, predictions, and same-game parlay ahead of Sunday's clash with the Houston Texans.

Chris Vasile - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Chris Vasile • Betting Analyst
Jan 18, 2026 • 12:41 ET • 4 min read
New England Patriots quarterback Drake Maye (10) smiles after a touchdown pass during the fourth quarter against the Los Angeles Chargers.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. New England Patriots quarterback Drake Maye (10) smiles after a touchdown pass during the fourth quarter against the Los Angeles Chargers.

With Drake Maye odds front and center for the Divisional Round, the spotlight shifts to a quarterback coming off an MVP-caliber season now stepping onto the biggest stage of his young career.

With a chance to reach his first AFC Title game, NFL picks and projections are calling for a very steady night from the young signal caller. 

Drake Maye predictions for the Divisional Round

Market Proj. Odds Value
Passing yards
(220.5)
227.5 Over 220.5
-114
A
Interceptions
(0.5)
0.4 Under 0.5
-130
A
Rush attempts
(7.5)
6 Under 7.5
-140
A-
Pass completions
(19.5)
20.2 Over 19.5
+105
B+
Pass attempts
(29.5)
30.7 Over 29.5
-108
B+

This projection points to a calm, efficient night for Drake Maye. He’s expected to clear his passing yard mark, avoid turnovers, and handle a solid passing workload without needing to run much. Nothing flashy — just steady quarterback play that keeps the offense on schedule in a high-leverage game.

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Drake Maye same-game parlay for the Divisional Round

Over 220.5 passing yards

Under 1.5 passing touchdowns

Under 37.5 rushing yards

There's a lot to like about this SGP as Drake Maye figures to move the ball through the air on the Houston Texans defense. Maye has gone over this mark in three of his last four games and in 12 of his last 13. 

He hasn't had a multi-td game since December 28 vs. the Jets, and his rushing yards have been erratic. 

Expect Maye to get the ball out to his receivers early before letting the Rhamondre Stevenson and TreVeyon Henderson find paydirt. 


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Chris Vasile Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Chris Vasile is a betting analyst with over 13 years of experience breaking down soccer betting markets, with additional coverage across the WNBA and NFL. He focuses on finding numbers that are slow to adjust — whether it’s due to scheduling spots, player usage, or recent form — and explaining why a line is worth playing. His work has appeared across major betting and sports media platforms, including Covers, VSiN, BetMGM Network, and SportsGrid, where he’s delivered sharp analysis on both mainstream and niche markets. At Covers, he contributes to major tournament coverage and daily betting content, with a particular focus on soccer. He also runs the Game Day Wagers YouTube channel, where he shares daily picks and betting insights tailored for serious bettors.

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