Two of the NFL’s struggling sides square off this afternoon when the Washington Commanders travel to MetLife Stadium to face the New York Giants.
Jaxson Dart doesn’t have much to work with offensively, which means my Commanders vs. Giants predictions and NFL picks expect passing yards to be hard to come by.
Commanders vs Giants prediction
Commanders vs Giants Best bet: Jaxson Dart Under 208.5 passing yards (-114)
It’s been a terrible campaign for the New York Giants overall, and while Jaxson Dart has shown promise at times, he also doesn’t have a lot of help. In 10 games played, he’s averaging just 155.6 passing yards per contest. He’s cashed the Under in three of his last four appearances as well.
Last time out, Dart threw for just 139 yards in a loss to the AFC’s best, the New England Patriots. Although Dart will face a horrendous Washington Commanders pass defense here, he hasn’t shown the ability to get over 210 passing yards too often.
He’s only hit the Over twice this season, and the last time was at the beginning of November. The Under screams value on Sunday.
Commanders vs Giants same-game parlay
Deebo Samuel has 62 receptions for 561 yards and five touchdowns this season, serving as one of the Commanders’ top weapons. Whether it’s Jayden Daniels or Marcus Mariota playing QB, Samuel is usually productive.
The veteran has cashed the Over in receiving yards in two of his last three appearances, and he’ll be looking to bounce back from just 27 yards through the air. The Giants are 24th in the league in pass defense, and Samuel is averaging 54 yards per game on the road compared to 39.5 at home.
Tyrone Tracy Jr. has run for 434 yards this season, averaging 3.8 yards per carry. He’s been the main RB1 for New York after Cam Skattebo’s injury. The 26-year-old has cashed the Over in rushing yards in three of his last four.
Commanders vs Giants SGP
- Jaxson Dart Under 210.5 passing yards
- Deebo Samuel Over 42.5 receiving yards
- Tyrone Tracy Jr. Over 49.5 rushing yards
Our big-ticket SGP: Slashing Samuel!
Marcus Mariota has cashed the Over in passing touchdowns in two of his last three starts, and the Giants are allowing 28.2 ppg.
Commanders vs Giants SGP
- Jaxson Dart Under 210.5 passing yards
- Deebo Samuel Over 42.5 receiving yards
- Tyrone Tracy Jr. Over 49.5 rushing yards
- Marcus Mariota Over 1.5 passing touchdowns
Commanders vs Giants game predictions
Commanders vs Giants moneyline prediction
With Daniels sidelined due to an elbow injury, the Giants head into this one as a -142 moneyline favorite at home. New York’s only two victories this season have come at MetLife, and they’re facing a banged-up Washington team. The Commanders are also just 1-6 on the road. I’ll take the G-Men to win this one.
Commanders vs Giants spread prediction
New York is a very slim 2.5-point favorite on the spread, which shouldn’t be challenging to cover. The Giants managed to cover this same line in both victories, beating the Los Angeles Chargers by three points in Week 4 before blowing out the Philadelphia Eagles two weeks later.
Commanders vs Giants Over/Under prediction
The total is set at 46.5 points here, and we’re looking at two of the worst defenses in the NFL. Despite the struggles of both teams offensively, I could see this one being relatively high-scoring, whether that means New York pulls away for a convincing win or these two go back and forth.
Commanders vs Giants odds
- Spread: Commanders -4.5 | Giants +4.5
- Moneyline: Commanders -200 | Giants +165
- Over/Under: Over 45.5 | Under 45.5
More NFL picks and odds from Covers
Commanders vs Giants trend to know
The Giants have cashed the moneyline in five of their last nine home games for +6.55 units and a 61% ROI. Find more NFL betting trends for Commanders vs. Giants.
How to watch Commanders vs Giants
| Location | MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ |
| Date | Sunday, December 14, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | FOX |
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