On Sunday, two teams with contrasting records meet. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers lead the NFC South with a 6-2 record while the Washington Football Team are 2-6 and dead last in the NFC East. Both teams come into the game refreshed and rested following a bye in Week 9.
Can WFT get their season back on track or will the Buccaneers continue their march to the playoffs? Don’t miss our NFL picks and predictions for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Washington Football Team.
Buccaneers vs Washington odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
We’ve not seen a huge amount of movement at this point. The Buccaneers have dropped from 10-point to 9.5-point favorites against the WFT. The total has remained constant at 51.5 since opening. Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until kickoff and be sure to check out the full NFL odds before placing your bets.
Buccaneers vs Washington picks
Picks made on 11/11/2021 at 11:00 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Buccaneers vs Washington game info
• Location: FedExField, Landover, MD
• Date: Sunday, November 14, 2021
• Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
• TV: FOX
Buccaneers at Washington betting preview
Weather
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Key injuries
Buccaneers: Antonio Brown WR (Out), Rob Gronkowski TE (Out), Rashard Robinson CB (Out), Carlton Davis CB (Out).
Washington: Curtis Samuel WR (Out), Benjamin St-Juste CB (Out), Montez Sweat DE (Out), Chase Roullier C (Out), Brandon Scherff G (Out), Logan Thomas TE (Out), Ryan Fitzpatrick QB (Out).
Find our latest NFL injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Bucs are 7-1 ATS in their past eight games following an ATS loss. Find more NFL betting trends for Buccaneers vs. Washington.
Buccaneers vs Washington predictions
Buccaneers -9.5 (-110)
The Buccaneers are 9.5-point favorites in this game and should be able to cover this with relative ease. Both teams come into the game following a bye and should both be well-rested. Both teams had injury problems heading into the bye week and the rest might have helped them get some of their stars back on the field.
There was such hope for the Washington Football Team before the season, but an early injury to Ryan Fitzpatrick has hit the team hard. Taylor Heinicke has been an acceptable replacement but has had as many head in hands moments as he has had wow moments. Despite the lack of Fitzpatrick, and the injuries to Curtis Samuel, and knocks that Antonio Gibson has had all season, they haven’t been dreadful on offense. WFT rank 22nd in the league in offensive DVOA and have more offensive yards per game on average than teams like the Patriots, Broncos and Packers, all of whom are considered to have had better seasons so far.
The issue with Washington has been their defense. After being celebrated last year, the hopes were sky-high for what they could achieve this season. Last year’s Defensive Rookie of the Year, Chase Young, has only managed 1.5 sacks, perhaps indicative of the slide that the defense has had as a whole. Only three teams have allowed more offensive yards per game than WFT. The pass defense, too, has been particularly bad. They allow a league-worst 286.8 yards per game through the air. That is a huge concern when you’re welcoming Tom Brady to FedEx Field.
Tom Brady has been stewing on that defeat to the Saints for two weeks now and you better believe that he’s taken that personally. Brady doesn’t usually have to wait this long to avenge a defeat and he’s going to do everything in his power to win here.
The Buccaneers' offense is ranked first in offensive DVOA and they average 423.1 yards per game. Of those yards, a huge 327.5 are through the air, a league-high. That is very bad news for a passing defense as bad as the WFT.
It’s going to take a lot for the Bucs to not win this game and I’m not sure a fired-up Tom Brady would let that happen. They’ll win this game comfortably and should easily cover the 9.5-point spread against a Washington Football Team who are struggling in a bad way. Grab the line now while you can, this looks like a real steal.
Over 51.5 (-110)
The Over is 9-2 in the Buccaneers' last 11 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. That says a lot about Tom Brady and how he takes each loss as a personal insult and crucially how he reacts. The Bucs are going to bounce back and will do so in style.
Brady is now getting his skill players back from injuries and with a full supporting cast, he’s going to be a hard man to stop. The total of 51.5 is high, the third-highest of the week in fact, but it’s high for a reason. The Bucs have averaged 32.5 points per game, a league-high, and you have to be confident that they’ll exceed their average against a defense as poor against the pass as WFT.
I’m expecting the Bucs to put up 40-45 points here and put on a real clinic. If that happens, it wouldn’t require much from Washington to secure the Over.
Mike Evans to score 2+ touchdowns (+300)
If you’ve ever owned Mike Evans in fantasy then you’ll know how frustrating it can be. Evans has been a star in Tampa ever since 2014 when he was drafted seventh overall but he can be feast or famine.
In eight games played this season, he’s found the endzone on eight occasions, which sounds remarkably consistent but in that time, he’s had four games without scoring. It just so happens that in the other four games he’s scored a brace twice, a hat trick once and a solitary touchdown once.
In his past two games, he’s scored four touchdowns and this week feels primed for another big week. We’ve already detailed how bad the WFT defense is against the pass but it’s important to note that they allow an average of 1.75 touchdowns to wide receivers per game. Now they face arguably the best offense in the game and a 6-foot-5 wideout who can dominate. The Bucs are going to feast on Washington Football Team and Evans has a real shot at scoring more than once.
