Buccaneers vs Chiefs Props and Picks for Monday Night Football

James Bisson - Head of Content, Betting
James Bisson • Head of Content, Betting 16+ years betting experience
Updated: Nov 4, 2024 , 11:01 AM ET • 4 min read

Bucky Irving has seen his role continue to increase in recent weeks, and he should have plenty of chances to produce against the Chiefs on Monday.

Bucky Irving Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL
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The Kansas City Chiefs are the NFL’s lone remaining unbeaten team, and they have a great chance of staying that way as big home favorites in the Monday Night Football odds against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

My NFL player props and Buccaneers vs. Chiefs predictions expect a few Bucs to produce and a Chiefs veteran to find the end zone. Read on for my NFL picks below.

Buccaneers vs Chiefs MNF props

Read full analysis of each pick.

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Buccaneers vs Chiefs MNF props

Prop bet #1: Baker Mayfield Over 1.5 passing touchdowns

+146 at FanDuel

Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield has put up strong numbers so far this season despite a 4-4 record. He's thrown for 21 touchdowns and nine interceptions through eight weeks.

The injury to Mike Evans may hurt Mayfield’s output, but the Bucs still have running back Rachaad White and tight end Cade Otton, both of which have caught multiple touchdown passes this season.

Mayfield has thrown for multiple TDs in each of his last five games and six of eight contests this season. In fact, he’s had 3+ TD passes in each of the last four games.

The Chiefs have yet to allow three passing TDs in a game, but they’ve allowed two to Gardner Minshew and Derek Carr in recent weeks, as well as Joe Burrow in Week 2. While the Chiefs could run away with this, this +146 price is worth a play.

Prop bet #2: Bucky Irving Over 52.5 rushing + receiving yards

-114 at FanDuel

Bucs running back Bucky Irving has been mighty impressive here in his rookie season. The fourth-round pick out of Oregon leads Tampa Bay with 395 rushing yards and has 164 receiving yards to boot.

Despite being questionable with a toe injury, Irving should be able to get Over this 52.5 total yards mark. He’s done so in six straight games and seven of eight contests this season. That’s quite the accomplishment for the rookie.

While the Chiefs have a stout defense, they’ve seen a few running backs pass this mark this season. Justice Hill, J.K. Dobbins, Alvin Kamara, and Jordan Mason all reached this number this season.

We’re getting a bit of a lower line due to the situation and injury, but that should be taken advantage of.

Prop bet #3: Travis Kelce anytime touchdown

+115 at FanDuel

Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce has slowly but surely ramped up his workload this season. After receiving a total of just 12 targets in the first three weeks, he matched that total with 10 catches on 12 targets and his first touchdown of the season last week against the Raiders.

Kelce has a great matchup this week against a lackluster Buccaneers defense. Tampa Bay allowed nine passing touchdowns over the past two weeks including a pair to both Mark Andrews and Kyle Pitts. 

Mahomes should be looking to exploit that this week, with Kelce looking like his old self once again.

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James Bisson
Head of Content, Betting

James Bisson is the Editor-in-Chief at Covers. He has been a writer, reporter and editor for more than 20 years, including a nine-year stint with The Canadian Press and more than five years at theScore. He has covered dozens of marquee events including the 2010 Winter Olympics, the 2006 Stanley Cup final and Wrestlemania 23, and his work has appeared in more than 200 publications, including the Los Angeles Times, the Guardian, Yahoo! Sports, the Toronto Star and The Globe and Mail.

His book, “100 Greatest Canadian Sports Moments”, was a hardcover best-seller in Canada in 2008 and earned him appearances on CBC Radio and Canada AM. He has written more than 50 sportsbook reviews, more than 200 industry news articles, and dozens of other sportsbook-related content articles.

A graduate of the broadcast journalism program at Ryerson University (now Toronto Metropolitan University), James has been an avid bettor since the early 2000s, and cites bet365 as his favorite sports betting site due to its superior functionality and quick payouts. His biggest professional highlight: Covering Canada's first Olympic gold medal on home soil – and interviewing Bret Hart. Twice.

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