All eyes will be on the NFC tape-measuring matchup between the Chicago Bears and Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field on Friday, November 28, with the two division leaders going head-to-head in a standalone showdown.
My top NFL picks and Bears vs. Eagles predictions are calling for star quarterback Jalen Hurts and the Philly defense to do the heavy lifting in a Week 13 win over Chicago on Black Friday.
Bears vs Eagles prediction
Bears vs Eagles Best bet: Eagles -7 (-110)
The Chicago Bears have won seven of their eight games by one-possession results and have sent out one of the worst statistical defenses in the NFL.
A road date with the Philadelphia Eagles on a short week sets up to expose a fraudulent Chicago defense ranking 25th in defensive DVOA while allowing the sixth-most points per game and third-most yards per play.
Chicago has also benefited from pacing the NFL in takeaways (24), while Philadelphia has turned the ball over the fewest times in the league (six).
Of course, the Eagles have also been money at Lincoln Financial Field winning 15 of their past 16 and covering the number in nine of the past 12.
There’s also a huge disparity in the strength of schedule these two teams have faced, which also has my attention.
Philly has faced the fourth-hardest slate per PFF and third by DVOA, while Chicago has gone up against the third- and second-easiest schedules, respectively.
I’m also anticipating a statement bounceback from the Eagles on both sides of the ball after allowing 24 unanswered to the Dallas Cowboys to lose in Week 12, and in particular on defense.
The defending champs rank top 10 in PFF defense grade, defensive DVOA and EPA per play while allowing the eighth-fewest points per game, after all.
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Bears vs Eagles Black Friday same-game parlay
I’m anticipating Philly exposing the Chicago defense, and Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts stuffing his stat line.
On top of all the highlighted defensive shortcomings, the Bears are also tied for the third-most passing touchdowns allowed to opposing quarterbacks (22) while allowing QBs to run for a league-high 6.74 yards per carry.
This is also a spot where I’m not anticipating Philly taking its foot off the gas after the noted blown lead in Week 12.
Bears vs Eagles SGP
- Jalen Hurts Over 207.5 passing yards
- Jalen Hurts Over 32.5 rushing yards
- Jalen Hurts Over 1.5 passing touchdowns
- Jalen Hurts to score a touchdown
Our big-ticket SGP: Hurts gives Bears the business
Hurts has recorded multiple rushing touchdowns 17 times, and as noted, the Bears have been gashed on the ground by mobile quarterbacks.
Bears vs Eagles SGP
- Eagles -7
- Jalen Hurts Over 207.5 passing yards
- Jalen Hurts Over 32.5 rushing yards
- Jalen Hurts 2+ touchdowns
Bears vs Eagles odds
- Spread: Chicago +7 (-110) | Philadelphia -7 (-110)
- Moneyline: Chicago +290 | Philadelphia -360
- Over/Under: Over 44.5 (-105) | Under 44.5 (-115)
Bears vs Eagles betting trend to know
The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the spread in nine of their past 12 home games. Find more NFL betting trends for Bears vs. Eagles.
How to watch Bears vs Eagles
| Location | Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA |
| Date | Friday, November 28, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 3:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Amazon Prime |
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