Monday Night Football Computer Picks: Our Best Week 6 Player Prop Projections for Bears vs Commanders

Our best MNF computer picks for Bears vs. Commanders, highlighted by the Washington passing attack being very busy tonight.

Jared Hochman - Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Jared Hochman • Content Manager
Oct 13, 2025 • 10:18 ET • 4 min read
Bears vs Commanders computer picks Deebo Samuel Jr.
Photo By - Imagn Images. Washington Commanders wide receiver Deebo Samuel Sr. (1) runs after catching a pass.

The second half of tonight's doubleheader sees Jayden Daniels and the Commanders take on Caleb Williams and the Bears.

Our NFL player prop projections have singled out the best MNF props for each team's skill position players, including a few Unders for Chicago... and a busy night for the Washington pass attack.

Bears vs Commanders computer picks for Monday Night Football

Vikings Bears Vikings Commanders
Williams u233.5 pass -110 Daniels o45.5 rush -110
Swift o49.5 rush -110 Croskey-Merritt o9.5 rec -110
Odunze u67.5 rec -110 Samuel o57.5 rec -110
Kmet o18.5 rec -110 Ertz o27.5 rec -110

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Bears MNF computer picks

Caleb Williams Under 233.5 passing yards (-110)

Projection: 203.76 yards

Our projections don't expect a big passing night for Caleb, putting him well below his yardage total.

D'Andre Swift Over 49.5 rushing yards (-110)

Projection: 54.44 yards

We do forecast a positive night for the Bears' RB, as we expect him to get back above 50 yards following two subpar efforts.

Rome Odunze Under 67.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 54.44 yards

If the QB is projected to be quiet, it's no surprise that our projections also see a quiet game for Chicago's star WR as well.

Cole Kmet Over 18.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 25.57 yards

Things are a little more positive for the Chicago TE, although it is a relatively low total to beat (which he's done in three of four games).


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Falcons MNF computer picks

Jayden Daniels Over 45.5 rushing yards (-110)

Projection: 55.5 yards

Our projections love the Over on both Daniels' passing and rushing totals, but it's his work in the ground game that is the stronger value bet.

Alternate-total bet
50+ yards (+115) - Also shows tremendous vale.

Jacory Croskey-Merritt Over 9.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 15.59 yards

We're projecting the Under on his rushing yards, but we like "Bill" to finish with double-digit receiving yards for the third straight game.

Deebo Samuel Over 57.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 71.96 yards

Samuel has been questionable to play all week, but if he does suit up, we like him to finish well above his yardage total tonight.

Alternate-total bet
70+ yards (+155) - Shows very good value.

Zach Ertz Over 27.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 32.33 yards

Our projections also forecast a solid night for the veteran TE, who looks to rebound after failing to post a single catch last week.

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Jared Hochman Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Content Manager

Before Jared Hochman joined the Covers team in 2020, he worked for newspaper outlets such as the Chronicle Herald and The Coast, worked in marketing for SkipTheDishes and Vivid Seats, and previously ran a magazine. A journalism graduate from the University of King's College in, Halifax, N.S., "Hoch" brings more than a decade of experience in sports betting, having worked as a freelance handicapper, making appearances on Monumental Sports Network and the Sharp 600 podcast, and now also filling in occasionally as host of Covers' NHL Puck Props. 

Awarded Covers' company MVP for 2023, Jared is an avid bettor of MLB, NFL, NHL, and NBA, while also wagering on some soccer and WNBA. His best advice for sports bettors? Price shop, which is something he does daily across 10 different sportsbook apps.

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