From short-priced goal-line backs in win-or-go-home spots to longshot tight ends stepping into expanded roles, Wild Card Weekend is where NFL touchdown props really shine.
TD props are one of the best ways to attack the opening round of the playoffs, and my latest NFL picks offer something for every game.
| Matchup | TD Pick |
|---|---|
 LAR vs  CAR |
Tremble +650 |
 GB vs  CHI |
Loveland +215 |
 BUF vs  JAC |
Washington +215 |
 SF vs  PHI |
Hurts +125 |
 LAC vs  NE |
Henderson +135 |
 HOU vs  PIT |
Higgins +390 |
Odds courtesy of DraftKings
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Rams vs Panthers
Tommy Tremble (+650 at DraftKings) A+
This is a massive price for a clear-cut TE1 on a team that should be throwing more than usual as a double-digit home underdog.
In his first game without Ja’Tavion Sanders, Tommy Tremble stepped into the TE1 role and caught three of four targets for 38 yards and a TD at +500.
Tremble ranked third in route share and logged a 90% snap rate, second among pass catchers. With Sanders still on IR, this should be closer to +300 or +330.
Packers vs Bears
Colston Loveland (+215 at DraftKings) A
There were a few solid TD options in this game around the +200 range, including Romeo Doubs and Luther Burden, but I’m backing the rookie tight end who has drawn 23 targets over the last two weeks and leads the team with four red-zone targets in that span.
Even stretching back to Weeks 10 through 17 (excluding Week 18 with Green Bay resting starters), Colston Loveland’s eight red-zone targets still pace all Packers pass catchers. This is his longest TD price in more than a month, a notable shift after being priced as short as -150 last week against Detroit.
Bills vs Jaguars
Parker Washington (+215 at DraftKings) A
Parker Washington is the clear WR1 right now and has led the team in nearly every meaningful receiving metric over the last three weeks, piling up 29 targets, 19 catches, 347 yards, and two touchdowns. He’s also seen four red-zone targets during that stretch.
Getting a potential double-digit target receiver in a game with a 52-point total at anything better than +160 presents strong value. Washington is quietly one of the most underrated offensive players heading into the playoffs.
49ers vs Eagles
Jalen Hurts (+125 at DraftKings) A
The Eagles’ offense wasn’t at its best during the regular season under OC Kevin Patullo, but Jalen Hurts is a different player in January. He’s rested, confident, and the reigning Super Bowl MVP consistently elevates his game when it matters most.
Hurts’ rushing usage spikes in the playoffs, where he boasts 10 rushing touchdowns in nine career postseason games. If the ball is on the one- or two-yard line, it’s almost always his number getting called.
With a median TD price of -110 over Hurts' last 10 games, getting plus money here is a strong buy.
Chargers vs Patriots
TreVeyon Henderson (+135 at DraftKings) A-
TreVeyon Henderson and Rhamondre Stevenson are splitting the backfield, but their roles have become more defined.
Stevenson has been more involved as a pass catcher, while Henderson has handled the heavier rushing workload, totalling 22 carries over the last two games compared to just 15 for Stevenson.
The rookie has also taken over the high-leverage touches. Since Week 10, Henderson has 13 red-zone carries to Stevenson’s four, including six attempts from inside the five-yard line versus only two for Stevenson. That kind of usage is hard to ignore.
Henderson should see at least 60% of the carries and continue to dominate the early-down goal-line work. At anything up to +110 for a touchdown, this is a price worth playing.
Texans vs Steelers
Jayden Higgins (+390 at DraftKings) A-
Nico Collins was out last week when Jayden Higgins cashed at +195, but even with Collins back in the lineup in Week 17, Higgins still found the end zone at +380. He has now scored in five of his 11 games since Week 8, quietly carving out a consistent role.
At 6-foot-4 and 215 pounds, the coaching staff clearly trusts Higgins' catch radius and ability to win in tight spaces. That matters against a Pittsburgh secondary that was leaking big plays late in the season and ranks among the worst units in receiving yards allowed to wide receivers.
Higgins can beat this defense vertically or win a one-on-one in close. Even as the potential No.3 option, this price is playable to +300.
Wild Card anytime touchdown parlay
Blake Corum
Kyle Monangai
Bhayshul Tuten
Let’s stack a trio of backup running backs who all have defined goal-line roles.
From Weeks 12–17, each matched or exceeded their RB1 in carries inside the 5-yard line, producing the same number of touchdowns.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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