Touchdown dances aren’t just reserved for the guys getting across the goal line.
Touchdown props allow NFL bettors to celebrate alongside their favorite players, which makes anytime touchdown and first touchdown odds among the most popular NFL player props bets every week.
If you think you know which players will strike paydirt, you can bet on them to score a TD at any point in the game. And if you’re really locked in on who will get past the goal line first, you can pump up your payouts by betting the “first touchdown scorer” markets when you make your NFL picks.
Anytime touchdown predictions
Bo Nix anytime touchdown
The Dallas Cowboys defense is putting up all the resistance of a wet paper bag week after week, and one of the many ways this unit is getting beaten is by rushing quarterbacks.
Dallas sees the most QB run attempts per game and has given up three QB touchdowns this year, second-most in the league. Bo Nix is averaging 5.42 rushing attempts per game and scored two touchdowns himself vs. the New York Giants last week.
-Robert Criscola
Colts D/ST anytime touchdown
The Tennessee Titans are awfully careless with the football, having given it away multiple times in three straight games. Only the Minnesota Vikings have committed more turnovers per game this season.
The Indianapolis Colts are tied for fifth in takeaways per game, and have recorded multiple in two of their last three overall. The Colts have only one pick-six or scoop-and-score this year, but it came back in their first matchup with the Titans in Week 3 – a Kenny Moore house call.
-Robert Criscola
Rhamondre Stevenson anytime touchdown
Following Antonio Gibson landing on the IR, New England has made it clear that despite his fumble issues, Rhamondre Stevenson remains the clear-cut RB1 for Mike Vrabel’s team.
Stevenson is coming off an 18-carry outing against Tennessee and has found paydirt three times in as many games. Expect him to be the focal point inside the red zone against Cleveland.
-Trevor Knapp
Dalton Kincaid anytime touchdown
There’s some risk with Dalton Kincaid after he missed Week 6, but the Week 7 bye likely helped him recover from the oblique injury. He was limited in Wednesday’s practice, but the upside makes the risk worth considering.
Before sitting out, Kincaid had six catches for over 100 yards in his last game and had scored in three of the four games before that. This offense clearly needs him, and a Top-5 matchup at +185 or better puts him in a strong betting spot.
If Kincaid doesn’t play, Dawson Knox becomes the pivot. That said, you'd want better than +250 to make that move worth it.
-Josh Inglis
First touchdown prediction
Jonathan Taylor first touchdown scorer
If you’re looking for big odds, then betting on Jonathan Taylor to score first isn’t going to give you that. However, it’s really difficult to look anywhere else on Sunday’s slate and feel quite as confident in a player scoring as Taylor.
Not only are the Tennessee Titans a bad football team, but they are exceptionally bad against running backs. This season, they’ve given up 11 touchdowns to the position in just seven games, and Taylor will be licking his lips at a chance to face their defense.
Taylor is in incredible form with 11 touchdowns already this season, a run that’s seen him score seven times in the past three games alone.
Multi-touchdown prediction
Tony Pollard 2+ touchdowns
With Calvin Ridley banged up and Tyler Lockett recently requesting his release, the Titans’ available talent on offense is paper-thin.
This will give veteran running back Tony Pollard opportunities both as a rusher and a receiving back, after he finished with six carries and six receptions in last week’s blowout loss to New England.
A similar fate awaits them against the 6-1 Colts, making Pollard a sneaky value option for a multi-score outing in garbage time.
-Trevor Knapp
More Covers NFL Week 8 touchdown scorer predictions
- NFL Week 8 anytime touchdown picks and parlay
- First touchdown scorer picks
- Anytime touchdown scorer picks for National Tight End's Day
- Packers vs. Steelers anytime touchdown scorer picks
- Cowboys vs. Broncos anytime touchdown scorer picks
- Vikings vs. Chargers anytime touchdown scorer picks
What is a first touchdown scorer bet?
A first touchdown scorer bet involves wagering on which player will score the first touchdown in a specific NFL game. This type of bet can be placed on any player who is eligible to score, and typically focuses on running backs, wide receivers, tight ends, and quarterbacks.
If the player you choose scores the first touchdown, you win the bet; if not, you lose. The odds for these bets can vary based on the player’s likelihood to score first, which is influenced by factors like their position, recent performance, and the team's offensive strategy and efficiency.
What is an anytime touchdown scorer bet?
An anytime touchdown bet involves wagering on whether a specific player will score a touchdown at any point during the game, not just the first TD.
For example, if you bet on Ravens running back Derrick Henry to score an anytime touchdown and he finds the end zone at any time during the game, you win the bet. This type of bet is popular because it allows for more scoring opportunities, and you can often choose players based on advantageous matchups. The odds can vary based on the player’s scoring potential and the strength of the team’s offensive scheme.
How are touchdown prop odds determined in NFL betting?
Here are some of the key factors oddsmakers consider when setting touchdown prop odds:
- Player performance: Historical data on a player's scoring ability, including past touchdowns, carries, and target share, is crucial.
- Matchup analysis: The opposing defense's strengths and weaknesses are evaluated, including how well they defend against specific positions.
- Injury reports: Injuries to key players can impact a player's likelihood of scoring. Check out our NFL Injuries page to stay up to date before making your wager.
- Game script: Oddsmakers consider potential game scenarios, such as whether a team is expected to be ahead or behind and how that may impact their strategy.
- Public sentiment: Betting patterns and public perception can also sway odds. If a player is very popular or a big favorite, sportsbooks may adjust their odds to mitigate risk. You can check out our Covers NFL picks consensus to see how the public is leaning.
- Statistical models: Sportsbook use advanced analytics and data-driven models to help refine their lines.
NFL TD Prop Betting FAQ
Yes, both running touchdowns and receiving touchdowns count for both the first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown bets. So, if a running back scores a touchdown by running the ball or a wide receiver scores by catching a pass, it will count for your bet in either category. As long as the player you bet on is the one who scores, you win!
Yes, an interception return for a touchdown counts as a touchdown in anytime touchdown betting props. If you bet on a defensive player to score an anytime touchdown and they return an interception for a touchdown, your bet would win. This also applies to fumble recoveries returned for touchdowns. However, it's important to check the specific rules of the sportsbook, as they can vary.
On an average Sunday of NFL football, six to seven touchdowns are typically scored per game. Since there are usually 12 to 16 games played, that can add up to 70 to 100 total touchdowns across the league.
Yes, an NFL center can score a touchdown, though it's quite rare. Centers primarily focus on snapping the ball and blocking, but they can score through a fumble recovery, a passing play if they are deemed eligible before the play, and a fake play.
Yes, you can parlay touchdown props in NFL betting. A parlay involves combining multiple bets into one wager, and if all selections win, the payout can be much higher than placing each bet individually. For instance, you can parlay bets on multiple players to score touchdowns in the same game, but keep in mind that all bets in the parlay must win for you to receive a payout.
