NFL First Touchdown Scorer Picks & Odds for Wild Card Weekend

Sam Farley has a first TD pick for each day of Wild Card Weekend, anchored by Dalton Schultz.

Sam Farley - Contributor at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Jan 9, 2026 • 13:00 ET • 4 min read
Houston Texans Dalton Schultz NFL
Photo By - Imagn Images. Houston Texans tight end Dalton Schultz (86) reacts after a catch.

It’s playoff time baby!

This is going to be a lot of fun. We’re ready for some big games, and hopefully some big winners, too.

I’ve checked the data and come up with three NFL picks for players to open the scoring in their respective games.

Here are my best NFL first touchdown scorer props.

Best Wild Card Weekend first TD scorer props

Player DraftKings
Rams Kyren Williams +500
Jags Travis Etienne +550
Texans Dalton Schultz +950

Covers TD Bingo

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TD prop #1: Kyren Williams first TD scorer

+500 at DraftKings

The Rams are the biggest favorites on the board over Wild Card Weekend, and given their performances this season, we’re almost certain to see them beat a Panthers team who lack real quality.

We’ve seen Blake Corum’s role increase in recent weeks, but Kyren Williams is still the standout choice to score the first touchdown.

Even with Corum’s increase in work we’ve still seen Williams out-carry Corum 10-6 inside the 10-yard line since Week 13. He’s scored 13 touchdowns this season, and has scored the opening touchdown in four Rams games.

Not only that, but the Panthers are averaging over one touchdown allowed per game to opposing running backs.

TD prop #2: Travis Etienne first TD scorer

+550 at DraftKings

The Jags could shock the Bills at EverBank Stadium on Sunday, and if they do, it’s likely to involve Travis Etienne scoring for the home team.

He’s had a great season with 13 touchdowns, and what really stands out is that he’s a dual-threat running back, with six of those coming from receptions. He’s scored six times across the past five games, and has found form late in the season.

No team has given up more rushing touchdowns to opposing RBs than the Bills, with 18, and Etienne will be vital to the Jags in the red zone. He’s scored the opening touchdown in three of their games across the season and is available at decent odds to do it again here.

TD prop #3: Dalton Schultz first TD scorer

+950 at DraftKings

After missing Week 18, Nico Collins returns to the Texans lineup on Monday. But even with their star wideout back, we still need to consider tight end Dalton Schultz a live option to score the opener against the Steelers.

He’s only scored three times all season, but two of those have come in the past month. He ranks second on the Texans roster in red-zone targets across the year.

With the Steelers giving up 11 touchdowns to TEs this season, tied for third-most in the league, it could be a good Monday for the former Stanford man.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Sam Farley
Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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