For the third time this season, the Green Bay Packers will face the Chicago Bears. But the stakes are higher on Wild Card Weekend.
The teams split the regular-season series with both games getting off to slow starts, but nine total touchdowns were scored between the two games.
Here are my top free Packers vs. Bears anytime touchdown picks and NFL picks for Saturday, January 10.
Packers anytime touchdown pick
Jayden Reed (+240 at FanDuel)
Jayden Reed was targeted four times and picked up a pair of carries when he returned from injury in the Green Bay Packers' Week 14 matchup with the Chicago Bears. In the Week 16 rematch, he had three targets with another carry, but that was with Malik Willis at quarterback.
While Reed has yet to score since returning from injury, he has been very close and remains a big-play threat. He is averaging 10.7 yards per touch when you include his carries out of the backfield, and Reed had at least one rushing touchdown in each of his first two seasons.
The Bears have the second-worst rushing defense of every playoff team this season, which is why Reed got rushing attempts in each of the two matchups with them this season. I expect more carries for him in this matchup.
Jordan Love had three passing touchdowns against the Bears in Week 14. While none were to Reed, it was his first game back, and I expect him to be more involved this time around. The bonus of him possibly reaching the end zone through the run game makes him my favorite pick for the Packers.
Bears anytime touchdown pick
DJ Moore (+370 at FanDuel)
It is always tough to pick which Bears receiver is going to be the touchdown scorer in any given week. Caleb Williams has 27 passing touchdowns, yet no target has more than six touchdowns. That is why I am just taking the guy with the best odds, DJ Moore.
Moore had a touchdown against the Packers in Week 16 and was the main deep-threat target. While Luther Burden and Rome Odunze will be playing this time around, their odds being so much shorter doesn’t make sense.
Moore found the endzone seven times this season and three of those scores came in games with both Burden and Odunze on the field.
The Packers defense ranks 23rd in the NFL in defending long passes. Williams attempted 60 passes of at least 20 yards during the regular season and completed 40% of those throws, which was the 11th-highest mark in the NFL.
He threw eight deep-pass touchdowns, tied for third-most in the NFL. Burden may be the typical deep threat, but Moore proved to be one himself against the Packers, catching three of four targets of 10+ yards. Moore’s odds being higher than Burden make him my favorite play for a Bears touchdown scorer.
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