Alabama looks to snap a rare two-game losing streak when the Crimson Tide host Texas A&M today. ABC has live coverage from Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, Ala. at 3:30 p.m. ET.
The lines on Kalshi have the Crimson Tide as 13.5-point home favorites with the total at 50.5, and my Texas A&M vs. Alabama prediction and college football picks expect Keelon Russell to get back on track against an injury-ravaged Aggies team.
For the rest of the Saturday, Oct. 24 slate, see our Week 8 college football top picks and Brad Powers' Week 8 predictions.
TOP PICK
Who will win Texas A&M vs Alabama today? Pick: Alabama -13.5
Although Alabama is coming off two straight regular-season losses for the first time since 2007, I like the Crimson Tide to cover up to -16.5 against this underachieving Texas A&M squad.
Against quality opponents this season, the Aggies have no-showed. In three games against teams ranked top 50 by SP+, Texas A&M has been outscored by an average of 31-11 and failed to cover in each of those three games. The Crimson Tide are ranked No. 12 by SP+.
Quarterback Marcel Reed has been particularly terrible in those matchups for the Aggies, finishing with an adjusted completion percentage below 60% in all three and a TD-to-interception ratio of 1:5.
Texas A&M won't score enough to cover on the road against an Alabama team that needs a huge game. I ranked this game outside the top five most watchable in my Week 8 Top 25 predictions because I don't see the Aggies coming to play on the road. For more spread plays, see our college football Week 8 picks against the spread.
COVERS INTEL: In its last five games, Texas A&M is 1-4 ATS and has been outscored in two SEC road games against LSU and Missouri, 62-12. Like those two teams, Alabama is ranked top 25 nationally in net adjusted EPA per play.More college football Week 8 picks and predictions
- College football Week 8 top picks for today
- Brad Powers' college football best bets for Week 8: three picks, including Ole Miss-Texas Over 53.5
- College football AI predictions for Week 8: ATS picks and score projections for every game
- College football Top 25 predictions for Week 8: watchability ratings and best bets for every ranked game
- College football Group of 6 predictions for Week 8
- College football Week 8 picks against the spread: seven expert ATS picks, led by Ole Miss +3.5
- College football Week 8 moneyline picks: Chris Vasile's winners for 10 matchups
- College football Week 8 Over/Under picks: two Overs and an Under from Chris Vasile
- College football parlays and combos for Week 8
- College football anytime touchdown picks for Week 8
- College football player props for Week 8
- Ole Miss vs. Texas prediction, picks and odds: the SEC's biggest Saturday night game
- LSU vs. Auburn prediction, picks and odds: our noon SEC pick
Texas A&M vs Alabama Over/Under pick: Over 50.5
Alabama has been one of the best Over teams in the country this season. The Crimson Tide are 5-2 to the Over, and hit it in all five matchups against defenses ranked outside the top 25 by SP+. Texas A&M is ranked outside the top 30 on defense, and I like the Tide to do the bulk of the scoring to hit the Over at 51.5 or better.
In Keelon Russell's previous three games against defenses ranked outside the top 25 by SP+, he accounted for 13 total touchdowns and finished with a QBR of 96.2 or better in all three. Even without Ryan Coleman-Williams, he should keep Alabama's offense, which is ranked top 25 in offensive success rate (50.1%), humming against a lower-tier defense.
As for the Aggies, Alabama's defense has been sporadic enough this season to give up 17+ points against this Texas A&M offense. If the Aggies put 17 on the board, the Over will be in good shape.
Our college football AI predictions also lean Alabama -13.5 and the Over 50.5, projecting a 34-17 Crimson Tide win. For more totals, see our college football Week 8 Over/Under picks.
Texas A&M vs Alabama combo
Alabama has been a force against teams with poor defenses, and Texas A&M has been blown out against quality SEC teams. Even with the Crimson Tide losing their last two games, they shouldn't struggle against a team with massive problems in the trenches.
The Aggies' defense has been non-existent against SEC teams with talented quarterbacks, and their injuries in the front seven should only make it easier for Alabama to run away with this game.
Once Texas A&M is down in the second half, it's going to struggle to throw its way back into this game, especially late. Not only has Reed struggled, but two of his top three receivers are banged up. For player-level angles, see our Week 8 college football player props and anytime touchdown picks.
Texas A&M vs Alabama combo
- Alabama -13.5
- Alabama team total Over 31.5
- Alabama 4Q -2.5
More multi-leg plays are in our Week 8 college football parlays and combos.
Texas A&M vs Alabama prop: Alabama TT Over 31.5
In four previous P4 games against defenses ranked outside the top 25 by SP+, Alabama scored 45+ points. Russell was a force in three of those games, and against a Texas A&M defense that's dealing with key injuries, I like the Over on Bama's team total at 32.5 or better.
Texas A&M's defense has been cooked by quality SEC teams, with Kentucky, LSU, and Missouri all finding massive success. Those three averaged 436 total yards against the Aggies, and two of those teams QBs finished with a QBR above 90 against them.
Russell is as talented as those teams QBs, and with Texas A&M dealing with injuries to DJ Hicks, Anto Saka, Daymion Sanford (all listed as questionable), the Aggies front seven could be in trouble.
Texas A&M vs Alabama market trends
Shape your Texas A&M vs. Alabama prediction based on this widget showing how the top traders at Kalshi are playing this game!
- Top picks: 15-11, +2.41 units
- Combos: 7-19, +1.47 units
Texas A&M vs Alabama odds today
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
- Spread: Texas A&M +13.5 | Alabama -13.5
- Over/Under: Over 50.5 (49%) | Under 50.5 (51%)
- Moneyline: Texas A&M 17% | Alabama 83%
For straight-up plays across the slate, see our college football Week 8 moneyline picks. If you prefer to trade the game, college football markets are available on Kalshi.
For the full slate of today's college football matchups, see our college football odds board.
More Covers college football betting tools
Texas A&M vs Alabama weather
Weather isn't expected to have any impact on the game in Tuscaloosa this afternoon.
Our college football weather page has up-to-date info on every matchup.
Texas A&M vs Alabama trend to know
Texas A&M has only covered the spread in five of its last 14 games. Find more college football betting trends for Texas A&M vs. Alabama.
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How to watch Texas A&M vs Alabama today
| Location | Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, Ala. |
| Date | Today, Saturday, Oct. 24, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 3:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ABC |
Texas A&M vs Alabama latest injuries
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