College Football Over/Under Picks: Week 7

Chris Vasile - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Chris Vasile • Betting Analyst 13+ years betting experience
Updated: Oct 14, 2026 , 12:00 PM ET • 4 min read

Fresh off another 2-1 week, Chris Vasile is targeting three Saturday totals, including Ohio State vs. Indiana, Alabama vs. Tennessee, and Notre Dame vs. BYU.

Notre Dame quarterback CJ Carr scrambles with the ball.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Notre Dame quarterback CJ Carr scrambles with the ball.

Another week, another 2-1 finish on the college football totals board. Now it's time to keep that run going with three more picks for Saturday.

My college football Over/Under picks start with a Top-5 showdown between Ohio State and Indiana, followed by Notre Dame's trip to BYU and an SEC matchup that has shootout potential.

Here are my three totals worth playing in Week 7, with more college football picks available throughout the week.

Week 7 college football Over/Under picks

Matchup Kalshi
Ohio State Ohio State vs Indiana Indiana u50.5
Alabama Alabama vs Tennessee Tennessee o50.5
Notre Dame Notre Dame vs BYU BYU u47.5

Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.

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Expert Week 7 CFB Over/Under picks

For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, please see our odds calculator.

Ohio State vs Indiana: Under 50.5

Kalshi probability: 49%

Indiana needed two fourth-quarter touchdowns to escape Nebraska with a 20-17 win last weekend, and the Hoosiers finished with just 328 yards of offense. Now they get an Ohio State defense that's allowed only 79 points in six games.

Indiana's defense isn't exactly a pushover either. Both offenses have game-breaking talent, but neither should have an easy time moving the ball. I'll take the Under in a game where every possession should matter.

Alabama vs Tennessee: Over 50.5

Kalshi probability: 56%

Alabama finally played a low-scoring game last weekend, losing 20-17 to Georgia. Before that, the Tide had scored at least 45 points in five straight games, and they're 5-1 to the Over this season.

Tennessee has gone Under in five of six games, but the Vols can still put points on the board. They scored 24 against both Auburn and Arkansas, and playing at Neyland Stadium should help the offense. Alabama has too many weapons to expect another 17-point outing, and Tennessee should do enough to contribute. I like Over 50.5 in this SEC rivalry.

Notre Dame vs BYU: Under 47.5

Kalshi probability: 47%

Notre Dame is averaging 44 points per game, but this won't be anything like last week's 58-7 win over Stanford. BYU is giving up just 13.4 points per game, while the Irish are allowing only 11.0. These are two of the better defenses in the country, and neither gives up much on the ground.

BYU's last two games ended 24-10 and 17-10, and with two unbeaten teams meeting in Provo, I'm expecting a tight game rather than a shootout. The total has already fallen from its opening number, but I'll still play the Under at 47.5.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Chris Vasile Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Chris Vasile is a betting analyst with over 13 years of experience breaking down soccer betting markets, with additional coverage across the WNBA and NFL. He focuses on finding numbers that are slow to adjust — whether it’s due to scheduling spots, player usage, or recent form — and explaining why a line is worth playing. His work has appeared across major betting and sports media platforms, including Covers, VSiN, BetMGM Network, and SportsGrid, where he’s delivered sharp analysis on both mainstream and niche markets. At Covers, he contributes to major tournament coverage and daily betting content, with a particular focus on soccer. He also runs the Game Day Wagers YouTube channel, where he shares daily picks and betting insights tailored for serious bettors.

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