Ohio State vs Michigan Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's College Basketball Game

Ponnaiya's prediction: The Wolverines will put the clamps on the Buckeyes’ offense.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Jan 23, 2026 • 12:50 ET • 4 min read

NCAAB

Match starts: 5 hrs
MICH
36 %
OSU
64 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Ohio St. u75.5  (-120) Ohio St. u75.5 (-120)
Read Analysis
Aday Mara Michigan Wolverines NCAAB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Michigan Wolverines center Aday Mara (15).

Tonight sees the Ohio State Buckeyes heading to Ann Arbor to face the No. 3-ranked Michigan Wolverines.

The Wolverines have been elite on both ends of the floor, and my Ohio State vs. Michigan predictions expect their interior defense to shut down the Buckeyes.

Here are my best free college basketball picks for this Big Ten showdown on Friday, January 23.

Ohio State vs Michigan prediction

Ohio State vs Michigan best bet: Ohio State team total Under 75.5 (-115)

Michigan’s defense is perfectly built to slow down Ohio State’s offense, especially since the Buckeyes boast a 60.4% eFG at home but see that number drop to 50.8% on the road.

Ohio State is coming off an 82-74 overtime win against Minnesota, where the Buckeyes scored just 67 points in regulation. They were also held to 74 points or fewer in three of their previous four games.

Meanwhile, the Wolverines rank second in the country in adjusted defensive efficiency and have held seven of their last eight opponents to 72 points or fewer.

The Buckeyes’ biggest strengths are scoring inside (60.3% 2PT) and elite free-throw shooting (78.8%). However, Michigan leads the nation in 2-point defense (40.7%) and ranks 27th in opponent free-throw rate.

With their elite interior defense and ability to defend without fouling, the Wolverines are set to hold Ohio State under its team total.

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Ohio State vs Michigan same-game parlay

Michigan’s best player is Yaxel Lendeborg, who averages 14.2 points and 7.1 rebounds per game. However, with their depth and ball movement, the Wolverines don’t rely on him to fill up the stat sheet.

Lendeborg has scored fewer than 14.5 points in five of his last six games and grabbed fewer than 8.5 rebounds in 10 of his previous 11 contests.

Ohio State vs Michigan SGP

  • Ohio State team total Under 75.5
  • Yaxel Lendeborg Under 14.5 points
  • Yaxel Lendeborg Under 8.5 rebounds

Our beyond the arc SGP: Buckeyes Bullied Inside

Devin Royal has finished Under 6.5 rebounds in 10 of his last 16 games.

The 6-foot-6 forward will face a tough challenge on the glass against a Michigan frontcourt anchored by seven-foot center Aday Mara and 6-foot-9 forwards Yaxel Lendeborg and Morez Johnson.

Ohio State vs Michigan SGP

  • Ohio State team total Under 75.5
  • Yaxel Lendeborg Under 14.5 points
  • Yaxel Lendeborg Under 8.5 rebounds
  • Devin Royal Under 6.5 rebounds

Ohio State vs Michigan odds

  • Spread: Ohio State +15.5 (-110) | Michigan -15.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Ohio State +850 | Michigan -1400
  • Over/Under: Over 166.5 (-110) | Under 166.5 (-110)

Ohio State vs Michigan betting trend to know

The Under is 5-1 in Michigan's last six games. Find more college basketball betting trends for Ohio State vs. Michigan.

How to watch Ohio State vs Michigan

Location Crisler Center, Ann Arbor, MI
Date Friday, January 23, 2026
Tip-off 8:00 p.m. ET
TV FOX

Ohio State vs Michigan key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

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