The top two teams in baseball meet for three games when the Chicago Cubs kick off a series against the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park tonight.
Chicago has hit a two-game mini-slump after winning 10 straight, but my Cubs vs. Braves predictions and MLB picks looks for that to end with a win over Atlanta on Tuesday, May 12.
Who will win Cubs vs Braves today: Cubs moneyline (+108)
The Chicago Cubs have won 20 of their last 25. However, they were shut out the last two games.
Texas stopped Chicago with starters featuring overpowering fastballs. Atlanta Braves right-hander Grant Holmes throws a fastball 2 mph slower and with 100 fewer revolutions in spin, which should spark an offense that was scoring six a game.
Holmes is also getting squared up consistently, ranking in the 31st percentile in hard-hit rate.
The Braves return from the West Coast. It’s their first home game since losing legendary owner Ted Turner and manager Bobby Cox. An emotional crowd might give Atlanta an early boost, but it will be a tired Braves team by the end of the night.
COVERS INTEL: Holmes actually throws his slider more than his fastball, but that’s also slower than the two Rangers starters that shut down Chicago. The Cubs have two players in MLB’s Top 50 batters against the slider and one in the Top 50 vs. the fastball.
Cubs vs Braves Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (+100)
While the Cubs’ back-to-back blankings got more attention, the Braves have actually hit worse than Chicago over the last week. Both have been below league average: .606 OPS and 82 OPS+ for Atlanta, .644 and 94 for Chicago.
Holmes is far from the only pitcher who doesn’t throw as fast as Jacob deGrom, and his 94-mph heater has done well this season. The Braves have won four of his last five starts, and he’s been outstanding at getting batters to chase and swing & miss so far this season.
Chicago starter Colin Rea is 4-1 and has an even better chase rate. He’s been confounding batters with his offspeed stuff, and it should be enough to help keep this final below the somewhat lofty total.
- ML/RL bets: 12-14, -1.26 units
- Over/Under bets: 15-15, -0.83 units
Cubs vs Braves odds
- Moneyline: Cubs +102 | Braves -122
- Run line: Cubs -1.5 (+157) | Braves +1.5 (-191)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-112) | Under 8.5 (-108)
Cubs vs Braves trend
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 45 games (+9.05 Units / 15% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Cubs vs. Braves.
How to watch Cubs vs Braves and game info
| Location | Truist Park, Cumberland, GA |
| Date | Tuesday, May 12, 2026 |
| First pitch | 7:15 p.m. ET |
| TV | TBS |
| Cubs starting pitcher | Colin Rea (4-1, 4.03 ERA) |
| Braves starting pitcher | Grant Holmes (2-1, 4.34 ERA) |
Cubs vs Braves latest injuries
Cubs vs Braves weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
