The NC State Wolfpack look for their fourth win in the last five games when they battle the Mississippi Rebels this afternoon from First Horizon Coliseum in Greensboro, NC.
It’s the Rebels’ third straight game played at a neutral site, and my Mississippi vs NC State predictions believe the Wolfpack will overwhelm their opponents on offense.
Find out why in my college basketball picks for December 21.
Mississippi vs NC State prediction
Mississippi vs NC State best bet: NC State -6.5 (-110)
Offense hasn’t been a problem for the NC State Wolfpack, scoring 89.3 points per game on 49% shooting from the field and 38.9% from 3-point range — both Top 4 marks in the ACC.
That’s helped outscore the problems the defense has faced, with NC State ranking a distant 16th in the conference in points allowed.
It’s an entirely flipped concept for the opponent, as Mississippi is the lowest scoring team in the SEC, putting up just 75.4 ppg. On the other end of the court, though, the Rebels are a Top 3 defense in the conference, allowing just 67.7 ppg.
Those scoring splits explain why Mississippi is one of the streakier teams in the SEC and why it's working to be a more consistent side.
The Rebels started the year with a 5-0 run, then dropped the next four — where they averaged just 66.8 ppg — before snapping out of that with back-to-back wins.
That lack of scoring has been a big reason why the Rebels are just 1-8-0 against the spread over their last nine games.
What's more concerning is that's with a schedule ranked 206th in KenPom’s strength of schedule metric. The Wolfpack’s level of competition is a level up — ranking 67th overall — and they’ve covered the spread in three of their last four outings.
NC State should find enough offense this afternoon to cover the spread again.
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Mississippi vs NC State same-game parlay
NC State leading scorer Darrion Williams missed the last game against Texas Southern, but in his last outing, he went for 17 in the loss to Kansas.
However, that’s just the second time in Williams’ last seven games he’s scored 16 or more. The Ole Miss defense isn’t exactly a team that allows you to get right, either.
Quadir Copeland leads NC State in assists at 5.5 per game, but that total has been upped of late. He had nine dimes against Texas Southern and has tallied at least six assists in five of his last six games.
Mississippi vs NC State SGP
- NC State -6.5
- Darrion Williams Under 15.5 points
- Quadir Copeland Over 5.5 assists
Our beyond the arc SGP: Wolfpack howling
Ven-Allen Lubin is the Wolfpack's top rebounder, grabbing at least nine boards in six of his last nine games. Mississippi ranks outside the SEC's Top 10 in rebounding.
NC State has gone Over the total in back-to-back games, and this might be the best offense the Rebels have seen yet this season.
Mississippi vs NC State SGP
- NC State -6.5
- Darrion Williams Under 15.5 points
- Quadir Copeland Over 5.5 assists
- Ven-Allen Lubin Over 7.5 rebounds
- Over 145.5
Mississippi vs NC State odds
- Spread: Mississippi +6.5 | NC State -6.5
- Moneyline: Mississippi +250 | NC State -310
- Over/Under: Over 146 | Under 146
Mississippi vs NC State betting trend to know
Eleven of the Wolfpack's last 13 games vs non-conference opponents have produced a total of 151+ points. Find more college basketball betting trends for Mississippi vs. NC State.
How to watch Mississippi vs NC State
| Location | First Horizon Coliseum, Greensboro, NC |
| Date | Sunday, December 21, 2025 |
| Tip-off | 1:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Mississippi vs NC State key injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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