The Miami Hurricanes are quickly becoming a team no one wants to face, finishing February with a 6-1 SU (5-2 ATS) record.
Miami is one of the better two-way teams in the ACC, with multiple options on offense. That includes junior forward Malik Reneau, who’s putting up more than 18 points per game in conference play.
My Miami vs. SMU predictions and college basketball picks believe Reneau will have a big night against the desperate SMU Mustangs, who can also light up the scoreboard.
Miami vs SMU prediction
Miami vs SMU best bet: Malik Reneau Over 18.5 points (-125)
Projections for Malik Reneau sit between 19.2 and 22 points against a scoring prop that’s tempered by a quiet outing against Boston College. The Miami Hurricanes jumped out to a big lead, and Reneau took just six FGAs in 23 minutes, finishing with eight points.
If Wednesday’s spread is any indication, the SMU Mustangs put up more of a fight, and Reneau registers his regular workload and offensive activity.
He scores at the rim while also collecting bonus buckets on offensive rebounds — two of the Mustangs’ bigger defensive blemishes. Reneau tallied 19+ points in six of the last 10 contests.
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Miami vs SMU same-game parlay
Miami isn’t happy with its current run, as head coach Jai Lucas is treating the home stretch as intensely as he would postseason games. The Mustangs have dropped two straight and won’t have top guard B.J. Edwards for this crucial conference contest.
This total is a tall one, but game projections sit as high as 163 collective points. Miami is one of the most efficient attacks in the ACC, while SMU plays an up-tempo pace with plenty of 3-point shooting and far less defense.
Reneau’s projections all sit north of this scoring total of 18.5 points against a SMU defense that watches foes fire at almost 52% from inside the arc.
Miami vs SMU SGP
- Miami moneyline
- Over 160.5
- Malik Reneau Over 18.5 points
Our beyond the arc SGP: Storm Surge
Reneau is man strong and bodies opponents on the glass. The pace of this game will lead to an increase in misses and rebounding opportunities.
Miami vs SMU SGP
- Miami moneyline
- Over 160.5
- Malik Reneau Over 18.5 points
- Malik Reneau Over 7.5 rebounds
Miami vs SMU odds
- Spread: Miami +1 | SMU -1
- Moneyline: Miami +100 | SMU -120
- Over/Under: Over 160.5 | Under 160.5
Miami vs SMU betting trend to know
Miami is 7-2 ATS in true road games this season. Find more college basketball betting trends for Miami vs. SMU.
How to watch Miami vs SMU
| Location | Moody Coliseum, Dallas, TX |
| Date | Wednesday, March 4, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ACC Network |
Miami vs SMU key injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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