Baylor vs Gonzaga Prop Bets for the March Madness National Championship

Gonzaga's Corey Kispert was a Wooden Award Finalist and poses a huge mismatch problem against Baylor in Monday's National Championship.

Last Updated: Apr 4, 2021 1:57 PM ET
Corey Kispert Gonzaga Bulldogs NCAA March Madness
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The March Madness didn't stop at the Final Four, as an overtime buzzer-beating gave us the National Championship that everyone was waiting for: Undefeated Gonzaga, the No. 1 team in the nation, against 29-2 Baylor, the No. 2 team in the country.  

There will be no shortage of betting options for the biggest game of the college basketball betting season, but we've gone and found our favorite National Championship prop bets for if you sports Baylor green...or want to see the Zags run the table. 

Check out below as we break down our favorite March Madness props for Baylor vs. Gonzaga.

Gonzaga Bulldogs National Championship prop bets

Corey Kispert Over 15.5 Points (-140)

With all the attention being paid to Drew "Manchu" Timme, and top draft prospect Jalen Suggs and his buzzer-beater, Zags forward Corey Kispert has become a bit of an afterthought. But don't forget that Kispert was a finalist for the Wooden Award and led the team with 19.5 points per game on 55.6 percent shooting during the regular season.

The senior foward's scoring has gone down a tick over the NCAA Tournament but he logs major minutes when the Zags are threatened, playing 44 minutes against UCLA and playing 37 minutes against BYU in the WCC Finals.

Baylor will either have to play a smaller guard against the 6-foot-7 Kispert or match him up against the slower Mark Vital. Either way, he will be a mismatch that Gonzaga will take advantage of.

Gonzaga Team Total Over 82 (-110)

At this point, it's pretty obvious that Gonzaga is one of the greatest offensive teams in recent college basketball memory. The Zags are averaging 92.3 points per game across both the regular season and  NCAA Tournament while shooting a sizzling 55 percent from the floor.

The Zags are at their best when they can push the pace and they do an excellent job at forcing opponents to play at their tempo. Gonzaga is coming off a 93-point performance against UCLA, torched USC for 85 points in the Elite Eight, and scored 102 points in their season opener against Kansas. This is a roster full of players that can shoot from outside, attack the basket, pass, or create their own shot.

It doesn't matter how good a defense they go up against, the Bulldogs simply find a way to score. With the Zags team total set at 82, a number they have surpassed in 11 of their last 12 games, back the Over.

Baylor Bears National Championship prop bets

Baylor first half moneyline (+145)

Baylor has averaged 38.6 points per first half during the NCAA Tournament, holding the lead at halftime in four of those games by an average margin of  15.5 points.

The Bears really kicked it up a notch recently, dropping 46 points against a tough Arkansas defense in the Elite Eight and 45 points against an even-stingier Houston defense as they took a 25-point halftime advantage in the Final Four.

Gonzaga has led at half in all five of its tourney games but only had a 1-point lead at the break against UCLA, as the Bruins managed to shoot better than 50 percent in the half and went shot-for-shot with the Zags.

Well guess what? Baylor has the offensive weapons to also go toe-to-toe with the Zags—in fact, the Bears are actually better suited for it than any previous Gonzaga opponent.

The first-half spread is Gonzaga -2.5, which is close enough so that if we like the Bears to cover, we may as well go for better value on the first-half moneyline. Considering we like Baylor to jump out to the early lead and win the Race to 15, it's hard to not like the Bears to carry that strong start through to halftime—and get us a nice plus-money prop win.  

Davion Mitchell Over 5.5 assists (+111)

We're going back to the Davion Mitchell well again. We took the junior guard, who led the Big 12 with 5.4 assists per game in the regular season, to go over his 4.5 assist total in the Final Four against Houston and he delivered, easily, by dropping 11 dimes.

His latest performance gives him at least six assists in three of his last four games, and we're looking at home continuing his unselfish ways against Gonzaga in the National Championship.

Mitchell normally does a ton of damage in the halfcourt, but considering he'll likely face a lot of Jalen Suggs, a very strong defender, Mitchell will have to find some more creative ways to rack up dimes.

Thankfully, Gonzaga loves to play an up-and-down style, which Baylor will happily do as well. The ability for Mitchell to run in transition and find open shooters – in which the nation's top 3-point shooting team has a lot of – or guys cutting to the net should be able to make up for anything added halfcourt resistance. 

Mitchell's assist total for this game is up to 5.5, but at plus money, it's hard to say no to that bet.

National Championship: Baylor vs Gonzaga betting card

  • Corey Kispert Over 15.5 Points (-140)
  • Gonzaga Team Total Over 82 (-110)
  • Baylor first half moneyline (+145)
  • Davion Mitchell Over 5.5 assists (+111)

Where can I bet on March Madness odds?

March Madness is one of the most popular times of the year for sports bettors, which of course makes it one of the busiest times of the year for online sportsbooks. Every betting site will offer March Madness odds but the top sites are safe and secure, offer a wide range of banking options, and give you a ton of markets for each game. Check out the best March Madness betting sites in your region.

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