March Madness Picks Against the Spread for Sunday, March 29

JD Yonke - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
JD Yonke • Betting Analyst 7+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 28, 2026 , 02:28 PM ET • 4 min read

JD Yonke's March Madness ATS picks see Michigan trampling Tennessee, and Duke once again struggling to put away a Big East opponent.

Michigan Wolverines March Madness
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Michigan Wolverines forward Morez Johnson Jr. (21) and guard Roddy Gayle Jr. track a rebound.

College basketball bettors turn their attention to the Elite Eight on Sunday afternoon with two games on the schedule. 

What’s the right pick against the spread for the No. 6 Tennessee Volunteers vs. the No. 1 Michigan Wolverines? Will Dan Hurley’s magical ways continue as the No. 2 UConn Huskies take on the No. 1 Duke Blue Devils?

I provide my March Madness picks against the spread for both games on Sunday, March 29.

March Madness picks against the spread for Sunday, March 29

Matchup Pick
Tennessee Tennessee
vs
Michigan Michigan
Michigan
-7.5
UConn UConn
vs
Duke Duke
UConn
+5

Lines courtesy of bet365.

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Expert March Madness Elite Eight ATS picks for Sunday

No. 6 Tennessee vs No. 1 Michigan: Michigan Michigan -7.5 (-110)

This is a nightmare matchup for the Tennessee Volunteers, so consider the fairytale NCAA Tournament run over.

Rick Barnes’ squad thrives on the offensive glass, posting a nation-leading 44.4% offensive rebounding rate. They’ve punked their three opponents in the Big Dance, winning the rebounding battle 105-70.

The Michigan Wolverines are uniquely poised to nullify this threat, as they have the best backcourt in the nation of Yazel Lendeborg, Morez Johnson, and Aday Mara. They have a ton of size and an elite 56.5% rebounding percentage, and they’re the much better team on both sides of the ball.


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No. 2 UConn vs No. 1 Duke: UConn UConn +5 (-110)

The Duke Blue Devils have looked entirely underwhelming for four of the six halves they’ve played in this tournament. They just failed to cover the spread against one tough Big East opponent (-6.5 vs. St. John’s), and now face a similar situation vs. the UConn Huskies

Neither Patrick Ngongba nor Caleb Foster (combined +15.45 BPR) is fully healthy, leaving the Blue Devils vulnerable.

Dan Hurley’s magic is out of this world. His teams are 21-5-1 ATS in their last 27 postseason tournament games. They have routinely thrived against elite competition, going 9-0 ATS in the Sweet 16 and beyond. 

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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JD Yonke
Betting Analyst

JD is a diehard college football fan with five years of experience writing betting and fantasy content for publications such as SportsGrid, Fantasy Points, Fantrax, and Devy Watch. An avid reader, he uses his inclination to look at things with an exhausting and in-depth, analytic viewpoint combined with a love for statistics and metrics to form a well-rounded handicapping approach.

e's an integral member of the niche (but growing!) college fantasy football community, twice traveling to Canton, OH for the Fantasy Football Expo as a member of the CFF King's Classic drafting squad. His specialization in college football DFS and prop betting taught him that there are exploitable markets to be found and that narrowing your focus is integral to being a profitable bettor.

A lifelong Californian who grew up playing baseball, basketball, football, and lacrosse, he's glad to share a passionate love for sports with this wonderful community.

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