The Los Angeles Dodgers (-170) aim to even a four-game series as they host the Milwaukee Brewers (+163) on Sunday.
Logan Henderson vs. Tarik Skubal represents a fascinating starting pitching matchup for this potential playoff lookahead.
See why my Brewers vs. Dodgers predictions and MLB picks for Sunday, Aug. 16 are backing Skubal and the Boys in Blue.
Who will win Brewers vs Dodgers today: Dodgers -1.5 (+124)
The best roster in baseball, arguably the best starting pitcher in the sport, and plus money available on the run line? I'm game.
Tarik Skubal (2.80 FIP) should dominate against a Milwaukee Brewers lineup that struggles against lefties (93 wRC+) and has been in poor form all month (76 wRC+). The bullpen is in a great spot for run suppression after using a single reliever in Saturday's contest.
Logan Henderson's numbers are terrific (2.69 xERA, 109 Pitching+), but that's making him overvalued in the market after such a small sample size (56 1/3 IP), and his flyball tendencies are an issue given the weather.
I'd play the Los Angeles Dodgers down to +115 on the run line.
COVERS INTEL: Henderson runs a fifth percentile ground-ball rate. That's a concern given the weather (low 80s, winds up to nine mph blowing out to center field), especially with his 8.9% barrel rate.
Brewers vs Dodgers Over/Under pick: Under 7.5 (-126)
Both starting pitchers have certifiably elite metrics. Skubal (121 Pitching+) has superb numbers against this Milwaukee lineup (.483 OPS), and although Henderson is live to give up a long ball, his 26.9% K-BB% is no joke.
For two playoff contenders, neither team is hitting like you'd expect. Both rank in the Bottom 10 in wRC+ this month, so a crooked number against great pitching would come as a surprise.
Both teams like where they're at in the bullpen for this contest. Milwaukee has been lights-out in relief this month (1.97 ERA, 2.65 FIP), while all of L.A.'s best arms are available after being rested a day ago.
Brewers vs Dodgers home run prediction: Shohei Ohtani (+262)
Nine of the 12 home runs Logan Henderson has allowed in his career have been to left-handed hitters, who tag him for an 11.2% barrel rate.
The 24-year-old throws either his fastball or his changeup 82% of the time to lefties, and that could be a recipe for disaster against Shohei Ohtani.
The four-time MVP's 8.6 runs above average against changeups is a full run higher than the next-closest hitter, and he has a career 173 wRC+ against heaters.
- ML/RL bets: 29-33, -8.7 units
- Over/Under bets: 38-25, +11.3 units
Brewers vs Dodgers weather
It's warm, and the wind is blowing out to center, which could help home-run hitters.
Brewers vs Dodgers odds
- Moneyline: Brewers +163 | Dodgers -170
- Run line: Brewers +1.5 (-133) | Dodgers -1.5 (+127)
- Over/Under: Over 7.5 (+117) | Under 7.5 (-122)
Brewers vs Dodgers trend
The Brewers are 3-8 O/U when Logan Henderson starts. Find more MLB betting trends for Brewers vs. Dodgers.
How to watch Brewers vs Dodgers and game info
| Location | Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA |
| Date | Sunday, August 16, 2026 |
| First pitch | 4:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | Brewers.TV, SNLA |
| Brewers starting pitcher | Logan Henderson (6-2, 2.88 ERA) |
| Dodgers starting pitcher | Tarik Skubal (7-6, 2.93 ERA) |
Brewers vs Dodgers latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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