Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Today's MLB Game

Dustin Saracini -  - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Dustin Saracini • Betting Analyst 14+ years betting experience
Updated: Aug 16, 2026 , 11:03 AM ET • 4 min read

Dylan Cease has the highest strikeout percentage of his career (36%), and is going up against Ryan Weathers, a lefty the Blue Jays have owned (13-for-37, four homers) over the last couple of seasons. Take the Jays moneyline today!

MLB

Aug 16 • 1:37 PM ET
NYY
42 %
TOR
58 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Toronto -125 Toronto -125
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Dylan Cease MLB Toronto Blue Jays
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Dylan Cease of the Toronto Blue Jays.

It's Dylan Cease bump day, which means I'm all over Toronto as part of my Blue Jays vs. Yankees predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays come into today in a Wild Card spot, and are looking to sweep the New York Yankees as -125 favorites at BET99.

Let’s dive into my MLB picks for Sunday, Aug. 16 and cash a same-game parlay, shall we?

Yankees vs Blue Jays predictions

Yankees vs Blue Jays best bet: Blue Jays moneyline (-125)

If the New York Yankees want to steal a game in Toronto, they're in for a tough time against AL Cy Young odds candidate Dylan Cease, who's allowed just four earned runs across his last 27 innings pitched.

Cease has the highest strikeout percentage of his career (36%), and is going up against Ryan Weathers, a lefty the Blue Jays have owned (13-for-37, four homers) over the last couple of seasons. Let's back them to do just that this afternoon.

I'd bet this up to -135.

Covers COVERS INTEL: George Springer has the hot hand against Weathers, going 3-for-5 with two home runs while rocking a .403 xBA. If the Jays win today, he'll be at the center of it.

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Yankees vs Blue Jays same-game parlay (SGP)

Blue Jays moneyline

Brett Bateman 2+ H/R/RBI

Dylan Cease Under 1.5 earned runs

Brett Bateman might be the most consistent hitter on the Blue Jays, and I won't stand by and watch him cash this bet once more without me being in on it (he's cashed this wager in three of his last four games).

Elsewhere, I'm expecting Cease to be good in one of the biggest games of the season. Don't overthink this one.

Yankees vs Blue Jays SGP

  • Blue Jays moneyline
  • Brett Bateman 2+ H/R/RBI
  • Dylan Cease Under 1.5 earned runs

Covers Alberta: Sports betting is now live!

Regulated Alberta sports betting has officially launched, allowing sportsbooks to operate under provincial oversight.

You can sign up and join BET99 — one of the best Alberta betting apps — now to get in on the Blue Jays action!

Yankees vs Blue Jays home run pick: George Springer (+525)

If you're looking for one player to go yard today, look no further than Springer.

He's hit two home runs in just five at-bats against Weathers in his career and is rocking an astronomical 1.118 xSLG. Sometimes the numbers don't lie.

He hasn't hit a bomb in nearly a month, but today feels like the day.

2026 Transparency Record
  • Best bets: 3-3, +1.61 units 
  • SGPs: 0-5, -1.2 units
  • HR picks: 0-5, -1.2 units

Yankees vs Blue Jays odds

  • Moneyline: New York (+125) | Toronto (-120)
  • Run line: New York +1.5 (-215) | Toronto -1.5 (+175)
  • Over/Under: Over 6.5 (-120) | Under 6.5 (+100)

Yankees vs Blue Jays trend

The Under is 8-2 in the Blue Jays' last 10 home games. Find more MLB betting trends for Yankees vs. Blue Jays.

How to watch Yankees vs Blue Jays and game info

Location Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Date Sunday, August 15, 2026
First pitch 1:37 p.m. ET
TV SN
Yankees starting pitcher Ryan Weathers
(5-7, 3.69 ERA)
Blue Jays starting pitcher Dylan Cease
(7-5, 2.40 ERA)

Yankees vs Blue Jays latest injuries

Yankees vs Blue Jays weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Dustin Saracini
Betting Analyst

Dustin Saracini is a betting analyst at Covers with over 14 years of experience in the sports betting industry. Throughout his career, Dustin has hosted multiple betting shows- breaking down NBA, NFL, PGA, and MLB markets alongside top handicappers - and has appeared as a Super Bowl consultant for CNN. A disciplined daily bettor who extensively line-shops across FanDuel, DraftKings, BetMGM, and Caesars, his sharpest edges lie in MLB and the NFL (followed closely by the NHL and NBA). A self-proclaimed NRFI guru targeting his second straight +10u MLB season, Dustin holds a Broadcast Journalism degree from Western University (2014). For daily picks, market strategies, and insights, follow him on X (Twitter) @DustinSaracini.

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