Iowa State vs Arizona Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's College Basketball Game

The Arizona Wildcats are playing their best at the perfect time, including getting star freshman Koa Peat back from injury. Jason Logan likes Peat to pack the box score vs. Iowa State tonight.

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst
Mar 2, 2026 • 11:32 ET • 4 min read

NCAAB

Match starts: 7 hrs
ISU
57 %
ARIZ
43 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Koa Peat o11.5  Points (-105) Koa Peat o11.5 Points (-105)
Read Analysis
Arizona Wildcats forward Koa Peat NCAAM.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Arizona Wildcats forward Koa Peat NCAAM.

The Arizona Wildcats seem to have all the pieces coming together at the perfect time heading into their matchup against the Iowa State Cyclones on March 2.

The Wildcats are humming after a massive win over Kansas in which they returned standout freshman Koa Peat from injury.

My Iowa State vs. Arizona predictions and college basketball picks paint a pretty picture for Peat’s box score tonight after looking winded in his return.

Iowa State vs Arizona prediction

Iowa State vs Arizona best bet: Koa Peat Over 11.5 points (-105)

Koa Peat is putting up 13.2 points per game in Big 12 competition and picked up where he left off against Kansas, scoring 12 in just 23 limited minutes in his return from injury.

He’ll do damage against the Iowa State Cyclones’ interior, with ISU struggling to clean the glass. Peat is a big part of the Arizona Wildcats’ top-ranked rebounding, leading to offensive boards and second-chance putbacks

Expect Peat to log more work tonight, as he’s been averaging more than 27 minutes in conference play. Player projections sit above 12 points, with a ceiling of 14.5.

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Iowa State vs Arizona same-game parlay

The Wildcats are playing elite basketball right now and returned key players from injury just in time for the Big 12 tournament. Tucson will be rocking with a “white out” on senior night, and Iowa State is coming off a physical loss to Texas Tech.

Milan Momcilovic gets a test from Arizona’s tight perimeter defense. He could be the best outside shooter in the country, and player projections won’t discount him too much, with models ranging from three to five makes from downtown tonight.

Iowa State vs Arizona SGP

  • Arizona Wildcats -7.5
  • Koa Peat Over 11.5 points
  • Milan Momcilovic Over 2.5 threes

Our beyond the arc SGP: Cat Scratch Fever

The Wildcats looked like the most complete team in the country in the statement win over Kansas on the weekend. And it’s not just scoring depth doing the job either. Motiejus Krivas crashes the glass with projections as high as double-digit boards, while Jaden Bradley dishes out six or more dimes.

Iowa State vs Arizona SGP

  • Arizona Wildcats -7.5
  • Koa Peat Over 11.5 points
  • Motiejus Krivas Over 8.5 rebounds
  • Jaden Bradley Over 5.5 assists

Iowa State vs Arizona odds

  • Spread: Iowa State +7.5 | Arizona -7.5
  • Moneyline: Iowa State +270 | Arizona -340
  • Over/Under: Over 148 | Under 148

Iowa State vs Arizona betting trend to know

Arizona is 7-1 SU and 5-3 ATS at home in Big 12 play this season. Find more college basketball betting trends for Iowa State vs. Arizona.

How to watch Iowa State vs Arizona

Location McKale Center at ALKEME Arena, Tucson, AZ
Date Monday, March 2, 2026
Tip-off 9:00 p.m. ET
TV ESPN

Iowa State vs Arizona key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst; has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike. Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet. He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous NFL Underdogs column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason's first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns. On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast; WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio; he had his analysis featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers; flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

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