BYU vs Houston Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's Big 12 Tournament Game

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst 8+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 12, 2026 , 11:55 AM ET • 4 min read

Houston's dominant defense should contain a fatigued BYU squad in the Big 12 Conference Tournament tonight.

NCAAB

Match starts: 4 hrs
BYU
61 %
HOU
39 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
Brigham Young u67.5 (-110)
Read Analysis
Houston Cougars college basketball JoJo Tugler Chris Cenac Jr.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Houston Cougars forwards JoJo Tugler and Chris Cenac Jr. swarm the ball.

The No. 2 seed Houston Cougars enter the Big 12 Conference Tournament with a clash against the No. 10 seed BYU Cougars on Thursday night. 

Brigham Young has been carried by freshman sensation AJ Dybantsa, but my BYU vs. Houston predictions don't expect him to ignite the offense today.

Here are my best free college basketball picks for this matchup on March 12. 

BYU vs Houston prediction

BYU vs Houston best bet

BYU vs Houston best bet: BYU Team Total Under 67.5 (-110)

With their elite defense and sluggish tempo, the Houston Cougars allow just 62.7 ppg. They held the BYU Cougars to 66 points when they met during the regular season and that was in Provo where BYU turned the ball over just six times.

With BYU averaging 10.7 turnovers per game and Houston forcing 13.7 turnovers per game, expect more giveaways today. 

Star guard Richie Saunders (18.0 ppg) also played in that game before tearing his ACL last month. That has made depth a major issue for BYU who will run out of steam playing in three consecutive days.

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BYU vs Houston same-game parlay

AJ Dybantsa actually dropped 28 points in the previous clash, and Houston is fine with allowing the freshman stud to get buckets so long as his teammates are contained. That should result in him going Under his assists prop.

BYU has allowed foes to shoot a sizzling 40.4% from the arc since the start of February. Houston's Milos Uzan has knocked down at least a pair of threes in 13 of his last 15 games while shooting 44.7% from deep over that span. 

BYU vs Houston SGP

  • BYU Team Total Under 67.5
  • AJ Dybantsa Under 4.5 assists
  • Milos Uzan Over 1.5 made threes

Our beyond the arc SGP: The Houston hammer

Freshman guard Kingston Flemings leads Houston with 5.4 apg and has dropped 7+ dimes in three straight games. He should rack up assists against a BYU defense that surrendered 82.9 ppg in conference play.

BYU vs Houston SGP

  • Kingston Flemings Over 6.5 assists
  • Milos Uzan Over 1.5 made threes
  • BYU Team Total Under 67.5
  • AJ Dybantsa Under 4.5 assists

BYU vs Houston odds

  • Spread: BYU +10 (-110) | Houston -10 (-110)
  • Moneyline: BYU +400 | Houston -550
  • Over/Under: Over 145.5 (-110) | Under 145.5 (-110)

BYU vs Houston betting trend to know

The Under is 13-6 in Houston's last 19 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI). Find more college basketball betting trends for BYU vs. Houston.

How to watch BYU vs Houston

Location T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, MO
Date Thursday, March 12, 2026
Tip-off 7:00 p.m. ET
TV ESPN2

BYU vs Houston key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

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