The Detroit Pistons are 10.5-point home favorites tonight against the slumping Washington Wizards, with tip-off set for 7 p.m. ET at Little Caesars Arena. My Wizards vs. Pistons prediction trusts Detroit's league-best scoring defense to smother a Washington offense that has lost three straight.
Find more in my NBA picks for Monday, Nov. 9.
Wizards vs Pistons prediction: Pistons -10.5
Play up to 58%.
The Detroit Pistons may have lost two straight, but I'm focused on their defensive abilities this season. They rank third in defensive rating and allow just 103.9 points per game, the fewest in the Association.
They face a Washington Wizards team averaging just 107.8 PPG, with three straight losses by an average of 20.3 points. The visitors scored just 75 against the Thunder on Saturday and could once again be without Anthony Davis, who's nursing an injury.
The Pistons' backcourt defense is also elite, limiting opposing guards to just 50.8 points per night. That's significant, as Trae Young is one of Washington's most important players.
I'll back Detroit to win comfortably and cover this double-digit spread.
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Wizards vs Pistons player props
Wizards player prop: Kyshawn George Over 1.5 threes
Kyshawn George has been shooting the triple very well this season. He's averaging 2.2 makes on 5.9 attempts for a 37.3% clip. The volume from deep has taken a jump lately, which is why I like this pick despite the price.
George has attempted seven or more 3-pointers in five consecutive appearances, cashing the Over in every game. He's 7-for-15 across his previous two outings alone.
While the Pistons are solid at defending the three-ball, George only needs two makes for this to hit, and given his recent volume, it's very attainable.
TOP PICK
Pistons player prop: Ausar Thompson Over 7.5 rebounds
Play up to 55%.
Ausar Thompson has been a force on the boards lately for the Pistons, pulling down 28 rebounds in his last two games, with 17 against the Sixers last week and another 11 on Sunday vs. the Lakers.
He's now cleared this line in four of his previous five outings, and with Jalen Duren still out, Thompson continues to have a larger responsibility on the glass. With AD also potentially missing tonight's clash, that could make it a softer matchup for Thompson.
Washington isn't great on the boards, either, ranking 26th in rebounds.
Wizards vs Pistons combo
I'm expecting a low-scoring affair in Detroit tonight. The Pistons play at a relatively slow pace, averaging just 99.4 possessions per game, while Washington has cashed the Under in eight of its first 10 contests. With Detroit likely controlling the tempo, scoring opportunities could be limited for both teams.
I'm also liking Duncan Robinson to find a rhythm from deep. The veteran has hit the Over in triples in two of his last three, taking an average of 10.3 threes per game during that span. Washington is also considered an easier matchup for shooting guards, allowing 3.7 made triples per contest.
Wizards vs Pistons combo
- Pistons -10.5
- Under 218.5
- Duncan Robinson Over 3.5 threes
- Top picks: 11-8, +1.47 units
- Combos: 1-17, -7.50 units
- Props: 12-9, 0.07 units
Wizards vs Pistons odds
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
- Spread: Wizards +10.5 | Pistons -10.5
- Over/Under: Over 218.5 | Under 218.5
- Moneyline: Wizards 19% | Pistons 82%
For the full slate of NBA matchups, check out our NBA odds board!
Wizards vs Pistons trend
The Pistons are 4-0 ATS in their last four games playing on no rest. Find more NBA betting trends.
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How to watch Wizards vs Pistons
| Location | Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, Mich. |
| Date | Monday, Nov. 9, 2026 |
| Tip off | 7 p.m. ET |
| TV | Peacock |
Wizards vs Pistons latest injuries
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