My Lakers vs. Hawks prediction starts with Atlanta flipping from an underdog to a 1.5-point home favorite Monday. Tipoff is 7 p.m. ET at State Farm Arena, with a 236.5-point total for your NBA picks on Monday.
Luka Doncic is back from his injury, but Los Angeles is on the second night of a back-to-back, creating intriguing moneyline and player-prop opportunities.
TOP PICK
Lakers vs Hawks prediction: Hawks moneyline
I'm following the line movement, which has steamed the Atlanta Hawks to 53%, moving them from underdogs to slight home favorites over the Los Angeles Lakers. I'd trade the Hawks to win outright up to 56%.
The market is backing Atlanta even though Luka Doncic has been taken off the injury report after sitting the front end of Los Angeles' back-to-back against the Detroit Pistons on Sunday. The Lakers upset the Detroit Pistons as 8.5-point road underdogs without Luka.
Also, the Hawks are 11th in 3-point attempt rate and the Lakers are 12th, but Atlanta gets better looks from deep. The Hawks average 6.0 more wide-open 3-pointers per game than their opponents, whereas the Lakers average 2.7 fewer wide-open 3-pointers per game.
COVERS INTEL: The battle for possessions is the most predictive aspect when handicapping basketball. Atlanta averages nearly 10 more field-goal attempts per game than its opponents, while the Lakers average 3.4 fewer. 
Lakers vs Hawks combo
Reminder: I'm only risking a quarter-unit on these combos. Nevertheless, I'm expecting enough offense from both sides to cash the player props, but Atlanta holds the advantage of facing a Lakers team playing its second road game in as many nights.
Lakers wing Ziaire Williams should benefit from the team's depleted backcourt, especially if Austin Reaves sits, and he's questionable for this game. Williams has been efficient offensively, and his defense should keep him on the floor regardless of how he's shooting.
Meanwhile, Hawks guard Aaron Wiggins has been banging threes all season, and the Lakers' perimeter defense is practically inviting him to keep firing.
Lakers vs Hawks combo
- Atlanta Hawks moneyline
- Ziaire Williams 10+ points
- Aaron Wiggins 3+ made threes
Lakers vs Hawks player props
Lakers player prop: Ziaire Williams 10+ points
Give me Ziaire Williams 10+ points as long as the prop stays below 48%. He's sixth on the Lakers in minutes per game and could see more run Monday.
Reaves is questionable after playing 36:41 in Detroit on Sunday, while Quentin Grimes has already been ruled out. Williams has scored 10+ points in five of eight games this season, including three of his four starts.
Plus, Williams owns the Lakers' second-best true shooting percentage, which accounts for 2-pointers, 3-pointers, and free throws. Even if his shot isn't falling, his defense should keep him on the floor long enough to clear 10 points through volume.
Hawks player prop: Aaron Wiggins 3+ made threes
Aaron Wiggins' 3+ made threes is playable up to 45%.
Wiggins has made at least three 3-pointers in seven of his 11 games this season, and the Lakers rank 29th in made threes allowed per contest. That's a favorable matchup for someone who's been knocking down triples this consistently.
Despite coming off the bench, Wiggins averages the fifth-most minutes per game for Atlanta, so his role isn't exactly limited. Like most role players, Wiggins shoots better from behind the arc at home. Given his recent production, playing time, and the Lakers' perimeter defense, I like his chances of hitting threes.
- Top picks: 9-8, +1.18 units
- Combos: 0-17, -10.25 units
- Props: 13-17-1, -3.50 units
Lakers vs Hawks odds
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
- Spread: Lakers +1.5 | Hawks -1.5
- Over/Under: Over 236.5 | Under 236.5
- Moneyline: Lakers 48% | Hawks 53%
For the full slate of NBA matchups, check out our NBA odds board!
Lakers vs Hawks trend
Last season, Atlanta was 10-3 against the spread with a rest edge and had posted a +7.7 spread differential in those games. Find more NBA betting trends.
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How to watch Lakers vs Hawks
| Location | State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA |
| Date | Monday, Nov. 9, 2026 |
| Tip off | 7 p.m. ET |
| TV | Spectrum SportsNet, Peachtree Sports Network |
Lakers vs Hawks latest injuries
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