The San Antonio Spurs are flexing their muscles in the West after eight straight wins, and they're 8.5-point favorites for tonight's visit to the Phoenix Suns.
While Phoenix has rallied since a nightmare 1-5 start, my Spurs vs. Suns predictions expect San Antonio to stay hot at Mortgage Matchup Center, with Victor Wembanyama feasting against the hosts' undersized lineups.
Read on for my free NBA picks ahead of this Monday, Nov. 9 clash, with tip-off set for 9 p.m. ET.
TOP PICK
Spurs vs Suns prediction: Spurs -8.5
The San Antonio Spurs may still be fine-tuning their three-guard starting lineup, but that hasn't impacted their ability to grind teams into the dirt. The Spurs have won six of their last eight contests by a margin of 10+ points, and the visitors sit in the Top 10 in PPG and PPG allowed.
That spells trouble for the Phoenix Suns, who are 2-6 ATS this season while coughing up 120+ points five times, and Mark Williams' absence leaves the hosts thin in the frontcourt against Victor Wembanyama.
With Wemby walling off the paint and San Antonio giving up the fewest 3PA per game in the league, Phoenix's paths to consistent buckets will be limited, and I'd play this up to 9.5 and 56%, especially as the Spurs' deep bench can extend leads.
COVERS INTEL: This matchup will put a spotlight on the Suns' rebounding woes. Phoenix ranks last in RPG this season while giving up almost 15 offensive boards a night. Look for Wemby, Stephon Castle and Keldon Johnson to cash in on the glass.
Spurs vs Suns combo
The Spurs began this road trip with a pair of blowout road wins, and I like their chances of adding another tonight. Mitch Johnson's men won't sleepwalk through the first quarter like the Houston Rockets did in Phoenix on Saturday, and they're averaging an impressive 118.4 PPG this year.
Devin Booker and Stephon Castle should see plenty of each other in this contest, and I'm backing both of them to make a splash from downtown. Booker has nailed this Over in five straight outings, and he's attempted 7+ triples in four of those games.
Meanwhile, teams are leaving Castle open beyond the arc, and he's been willing to let it fly. He's only making his 3-pointers at a 33% clip, but he's drilled 2+ triples in three of his past four matchups. With the Spurs averaging 91.4 FGA per game, there should be plenty of volume for Castle.
Spurs vs Suns combo
- Spurs -8.5
- Devin Booker Over 1.5 3-pointers
- Stephon Castle Over 1.5 3-pointers
Spurs vs Suns player props
Spurs player prop: Dylan Harper Over 16.5 points
Dylan Harper has started Year 2 with a bang, averaging 18.1 PPG on 50% shooting, and he won't hesitate to attack Jalen Green and Collin Gillespie in this matchup.
Harper has nailed this Over in four of his last five contests, including two outings with 20+ points, and his minutes could spike with Devin Vassell ruled out.
Watch for Harper to collect easy points at the free-throw line and on the offensive glass as Phoenix sells out to battle Wemby.
Suns player prop: Miles Bridges Over 6.5 rebounds
When it comes to tonight's rebounding battle, it's all hands on deck for the Suns, who have struggled mightily in this department this year. Miles Bridges can help, though.
Bridges has grabbed 10+ boards in three of his past five games, and he's averaging 9.0 RPG so far in November. The hosts will surely be on high alert given the San Antonio guards' ability to crash the glass, and Bridges will be especially valuable here if the inevitable Dillon Brooks foul trouble arises.
Spurs vs Suns market trends
Here's how trusted traders at Polymarket are dealing on today’s matchup. Follow the smart money via the widget below to help inform your Spurs vs. Suns prediction.
- Top picks: 3-4, -0.55 units
- Combos: 1-6, -1.25 units
- Props: 5-3, +0.60 units
Spurs vs Suns odds
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
- Spread: Spurs -8.5 | Suns +8.5
- Over/Under: Over 225.5 | Under 225.5
- Moneyline: Spurs 77% | Suns 24%
For the full slate of NBA matchups, check out our NBA odds board!
Spurs vs Suns trend
The Under is 7-3 in the Spurs' 10 games this season. Find more NBA betting trends.
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How to watch Spurs vs Suns
| Location | Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ |
| Date | Monday, Nov. 9, 2026 |
| Tip off | 9 p.m. ET |
| TV | Arizona's Family 3TV, Suns Live, DAZN SAS |
Spurs vs Suns latest injuries
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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