The Denver Nuggets fell to the Golden State Warriors in overtime in their season opener on the road, but the Nuggets will be out for revenge at home when the Warriors come to Mile High.
The Warriors have struggled on the road this season, and without Steph Curry, my Warriors vs. Nuggets predictions are taking Denver to cover a sizeable spread.
Here are my best free NBA picks for this Western Conference matchup at Ball Arena on November 7.
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Warriors vs Nuggets prediction
Warriors vs Nuggets best bet: Nuggets -10 (-110)
The Denver Nuggets nearly came away with a win in their season opener, but the Golden State Warriors rallied behind some late-game heroics from Steph Curry to force overtime and emerge victorious at Chase Center.
Curry won’t be around to save the day this time, as he’s out for Friday’s matchup with an illness.
Jimmy Butler has been nursing a back injury, and he sat out Wednesday’s loss to the Kings. He’s listed as questionable Friday. Draymond Green sat that one out too with a ribs injury, but he is expected to take the court. Even if both play, they will be at less than 100%.
Denver is 3-1 ATS at home with a +72 point differential, while Golden State is 0-4 ATS on the road with a -40 point differential. With Steph Curry out, Jimmy Butler and Draymond Green banged-up, and Denver sporting a healthy roster, expect a comfortable win from the Nuggets at Ball Arena.
Warriors vs Nuggets same-game parlay
Jonas Valanciunas is averaging 8.3 points across 11.9 minutes per game this season as Jokic’s backup. JV has put up nine points per game at home compared to 7.3 on the road. He’s hit the Over on this scoring line in five of seven games overall, including three of four at home.
The Warriors have hit the Over in three of four on the road. Denver’s offense is lethal, and even in a comfortable victory, this point total is set too low.
Warriors vs Nuggets SGP
- Nuggets -10
- Over 228
- Jonas Valanciunas Over 6.5 points
Our "from downtown" SGP: Another triple-double for Jokic
Nikola Jokic has recorded an NBA-leading five triple-doubles across seven games this season, including three of four at home. The Joker is one of the most prolific stat-stuffers in NBA history, and he ranks third all time in triple-doubles.
Warriors vs Nuggets SGP
- Nuggets -10
- Over 228
- Jonas Valanciunas Over 6.5 points
- Jokic to record a triple-double
Warriors vs Nuggets odds
- Spread: Warriors +10 | Nuggets -10
- Moneyline: Warriors +360 | Nuggets -460
- Over/Under: Over 228 | Under 228
Warriors vs Nuggets betting trend to know
[The Nuggets have hit the moneyline in 46 of their last 74 games (+15.10 Units / 7% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Warriors vs. Nuggets.
How to watch Warriors vs Nuggets
| Location | Ball Arena, Denver, CO |
| Date | Friday, November 7, 2025 |
| Tip-off | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Prime |
Warriors vs Nuggets latest injuries
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