Warriors vs Nuggets Prediction, Picks & Best Bets for Tonight’s NBA Game

Zak Hanshew - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Zak Hanshew • Betting Analyst 8+ years betting experience
Updated: Nov 7, 2025 , 07:00 PM ET • 4 min read

Hanshew's prediction: Nuggets run away from Warriors.

NBA

Nov 07 • 10:00 PM ET
GS
44 %
DEN
56 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
Denver -10.0 (-110) Denver -10.0 (-110)
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Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic (15) prepares to pass the ball.
Photo By - Imagn Images. Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic (15) prepares to pass the ball.

The Denver Nuggets dropped their season opener in overtime to the Golden State Warriors, but now get a chance at payback on their home floor when Golden State visits Mile High.

The Warriors have had trouble winning away from home this year, and with Steph Curry sidelined, my Warriors vs. Nuggets predictions back Denver to cover as hefty favorites.

Let’s dive into my top NBA picks for this Western Conference clash at Ball Arena on November 7.

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Warriors vs Nuggets prediction

Warriors vs Nuggets best bet: Nuggets -10 (-110)

The Denver Nuggets nearly came away with a win in their season opener, but the Golden State Warriors rallied behind some late-game heroics from Steph Curry to force overtime and emerge victorious at Chase Center.

Curry won’t be around to save the day this time, as he’s out for Friday’s matchup with an illness.

Jimmy Butler has been nursing a back injury, and he sat out Wednesday’s loss to the Kings. He’s listed as questionable Friday. Draymond Green sat that one out too with a ribs injury, but he is expected to take the court. Even if both play, they will be at less than 100%.

Denver is 3-1 ATS at home with a +72 point differential, while Golden State is 0-4 ATS on the road with a -40 point differential. With Steph Curry out, Jimmy Butler and Draymond Green banged-up, and Denver sporting a healthy roster, expect a comfortable win from the Nuggets at Ball Arena.

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Warriors vs Nuggets same-game parlay

Jonas Valanciunas is averaging 8.3 points across 11.9 minutes per game this season as Jokic’s backup. JV has put up nine points per game at home compared to 7.3 on the road. He’s hit the Over on this scoring line in five of seven games overall, including three of four at home.

The Warriors have hit the Over in three of four on the road. Denver’s offense is lethal, and even in a comfortable victory, this point total is set too low.

Warriors vs Nuggets SGP

  • Nuggets -10
  • Over 228
  • Jonas Valanciunas Over 6.5 points

Our "from downtown" SGP: Another triple-double for Jokic

Nikola Jokic has recorded an NBA-leading five triple-doubles across seven games this season, including three of four at home. The Joker is one of the most prolific stat-stuffers in NBA history, and he ranks third all time in triple-doubles.

Warriors vs Nuggets SGP

  • Nuggets -10
  • Over 228
  • Jonas Valanciunas Over 6.5 points
  • Jokic to record a triple-double

Warriors vs Nuggets odds

  • Spread: Warriors +10 | Nuggets -10
  • Moneyline: Warriors +360 | Nuggets -460
  • Over/Under: Over 228 | Under 228

Warriors vs Nuggets betting trend to know

[The Nuggets have hit the moneyline in 46 of their last 74 games (+15.10 Units / 7% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Warriors vs. Nuggets.

How to watch Warriors vs Nuggets

Location Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Date Friday, November 7, 2025
Tip-off 10:00 p.m. ET
TV Prime

Warriors vs Nuggets latest injuries

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Zak Hanshew - Covers
Betting Analyst

Zak Hanshew has been covering fantasy sports and sports betting since 2018. In addition to Covers, he has also written for Rotoworld and has spent time at FantasyPros, RotoWire, OwnersBox and Sportsbook Review. In his spare time, he can be found spending time with his wife and four kids, playing his guitar, watching Simpsons re-runs, or getting some shots up on the court.

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