Final Nov 20
LAC 101 6.5 o219.0
ORL 129 -6.5 u219.0
Final Nov 20
ATL 126 1.0 o234.5
SA 135 -1.0 u234.5
Final OT Nov 20
PHI 123 -1.5 o223.0
MIL 114 1.5 u223.0
Final Nov 20
SAC 96 3.0 o234.5
MEM 137 -3.0 u234.5
Golden State 8th West9-8
Denver 2nd West11-3

Golden State @ Denver Picks & Props

GS vs DEN Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
Cameron Johnson logo Cameron Johnson o10.5 Points Scored (-125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 days ago
Jon Metler image
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

Cam Johnson’s points prop is trading at -125 for the Over 10.5, and I believe it should be closer to -175. His fit with the Nuggets hasn’t been as seamless as anticipated, but he’s taken double-digit shot attempts in each of his last two games, making a 10.5 line far too low. When your field-goal attempts per game are essentially matching your points total, there’s value on the Over. Johnson is a high-level shooter, and this is a good opportunity to buy low before his efficiency normalizes.

Total Assists
Aaron Gordon logo Aaron Gordon o1.5 Total Assists (-160)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 days ago
Jon Metler image
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

Aaron Gordon’s assists prop is trading at -160 for the Over 1.5, and this number is badly mispriced and likely to correct quickly. I project it closer to -350, which also makes the alternate 3+ assists at plus money a viable target. Gordon’s raw assist totals aren’t impressive this season, but he handles the ball far too often for a 1.5 line to be justified at this price. This spot is simply about capitalizing on a bad number.

Total Rebounds
Nikola Jokic logo Nikola Jokic o12.5 Total Rebounds (-114)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 days ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

The Joker has brought down Over 12.5 boards in four of his last six games, and he just had 15 rebounds against the Miami Heat on Wednesday evening. The Nuggets take on the Golden State Warriors tonight, and Jokic compiled 13 boards against them in the season opener. 

Spread
Denver Nuggets logo DEN -10.0 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 days ago
Zak Hanshew image
Zak Hanshew
Betting Analyst

Denver is 3-1 ATS at home with a +72 point differential, while Golden State is 0-4 ATS on the road with a -40 point differential. With Steph Curry out and Jimmy Butler banged up, expect a comfortable win from the Nuggets.

Points Scored
Cameron Johnson logo
Cameron Johnson o10.5 Points Scored (-115)
Projection 13.13 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to scoring, the Denver Nuggets's stellar 126.8 points per game while playing at home settles in as the 3rd-most in the NBA this year.. This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 47.0% on threes (highest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, labeling this as a strong matchup.. The 8th-fastest tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.. The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 9 games (the Warriors).
Points Scored
Bruce Brown logo
Bruce Brown o6.5 Points Scored (-104)
Projection 7.84 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to scoring, the Denver Nuggets's stellar 126.8 points per game while playing at home settles in as the 3rd-most in the NBA this year.. The 8th-fastest tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.. The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 9 games (the Warriors).
3-Pointers Made
Moses Moody logo
Moses Moody u2.5 3-Pointers Made (-112)
Projection 1.99 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Golden State Warriors rank 6thworst in in the NBA with just 9.4 offensive boards per game this year.
Total Assists
Aaron Gordon logo
Aaron Gordon o2.5 Total Assists (+135)
Projection 3.13 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The 8th-fastest tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.. The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 9 games (the Warriors).
Total Assists
Draymond Green logo
Draymond Green o5.5 Total Assists (+120)
Projection 6.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 9 games has been the Warriors.. The Nuggets have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Warriors.
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GS vs DEN Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

72% picking Golden State vs Denver to go Over

72%
28%

Total PicksGS 421, DEN 164

Total
Over
Under

GS vs DEN Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Cameron Johnson Points Scored Props • Denver

Cameron Johnson
C. Johnson
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.13
Best Odds

As it relates to scoring, the Denver Nuggets's stellar 126.8 points per game while playing at home settles in as the 3rd-most in the NBA this year. This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 47.0% on threes (highest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, labeling this as a strong matchup. The 8th-fastest tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 9 games (the Warriors).

Cameron Johnson logo

Cameron Johnson

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.13
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.13

As it relates to scoring, the Denver Nuggets's stellar 126.8 points per game while playing at home settles in as the 3rd-most in the NBA this year. This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 47.0% on threes (highest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, labeling this as a strong matchup. The 8th-fastest tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 9 games (the Warriors).

Bruce Brown Points Scored Props • Denver

Bruce Brown
B. Brown
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.84
Best Odds

As it relates to scoring, the Denver Nuggets's stellar 126.8 points per game while playing at home settles in as the 3rd-most in the NBA this year. The 8th-fastest tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 9 games (the Warriors).

Bruce Brown logo

Bruce Brown

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.84
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.84

As it relates to scoring, the Denver Nuggets's stellar 126.8 points per game while playing at home settles in as the 3rd-most in the NBA this year. The 8th-fastest tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 9 games (the Warriors).

Moses Moody Points Scored Props • Golden State

Moses Moody
M. Moody
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.85
Best Odds

Offensive rebounds continue possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Golden State Warriors rank 6thworst in in the NBA with just 9.4 offensive boards per game this year.

Moses Moody logo

Moses Moody

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.85
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.85

Offensive rebounds continue possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Golden State Warriors rank 6thworst in in the NBA with just 9.4 offensive boards per game this year.

Draymond Green Points Scored Props • Golden State

Draymond Green
D. Green
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.66
Best Odds

The Warriors check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 9 games. The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 9 games has been the Warriors. The Nuggets have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Warriors.

Draymond Green logo

Draymond Green

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.66
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.66

The Warriors check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 9 games. The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 9 games has been the Warriors. The Nuggets have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Warriors.

Jonathan Kuminga Points Scored Props • Golden State

Jonathan Kuminga
J. Kuminga
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.56
Best Odds

The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a hard one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the 4th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (3.7). Offensive rebounds continue possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Golden State Warriors rank 6thworst in in the NBA with just 9.4 offensive boards per game this year. The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.6 foul shots per game this year (least in the NBA).

Jonathan Kuminga logo

Jonathan Kuminga

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.56
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.56

The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a hard one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the 4th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (3.7). Offensive rebounds continue possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Golden State Warriors rank 6thworst in in the NBA with just 9.4 offensive boards per game this year. The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.6 foul shots per game this year (least in the NBA).

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

Aaron Gordon
A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.34
Best Odds

When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive team in the league since the start of last season has been the Nuggets.

Aaron Gordon logo

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.34
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.34

When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive team in the league since the start of last season has been the Nuggets.

Brandin Podziemski Points Scored Props • Golden State

Brandin Podziemski
B. Podziemski
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.91
Best Odds

The Warriors check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 9 games. The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 9 games has been the Warriors. The Nuggets have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Warriors. The matchup against Denver may be a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 6.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Denver Nuggets are on their home court (3rd-most in the league).

Brandin Podziemski logo

Brandin Podziemski

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.91
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.91

The Warriors check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 9 games. The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 9 games has been the Warriors. The Nuggets have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Warriors. The matchup against Denver may be a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 6.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Denver Nuggets are on their home court (3rd-most in the league).

Quinten Post Points Scored Props • Golden State

Quinten Post
Q. Post
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.76
Best Odds

The Warriors check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 9 games. The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 9 games has been the Warriors. The Nuggets have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Warriors.

Quinten Post logo

Quinten Post

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.76
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.76

The Warriors check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 9 games. The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 9 games has been the Warriors. The Nuggets have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Warriors.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

Jamal Murray
J. Murray
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.57
Best Odds

As it relates to scoring, the Denver Nuggets's stellar 126.8 points per game while playing at home settles in as the 3rd-most in the NBA this year. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have posted 24.4 points per game (highest in the league) against the Warriors, marking this as a strong matchup for offensive output. The 8th-fastest tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 9 games (the Warriors). This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 7.1 free throws per game (most in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

Jamal Murray logo

Jamal Murray

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.57
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.57

As it relates to scoring, the Denver Nuggets's stellar 126.8 points per game while playing at home settles in as the 3rd-most in the NBA this year. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have posted 24.4 points per game (highest in the league) against the Warriors, marking this as a strong matchup for offensive output. The 8th-fastest tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 9 games (the Warriors). This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 7.1 free throws per game (most in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

Jimmy Butler III Points Scored Props • Golden State

Jimmy Butler III
J. Butler III
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.2
Best Odds

The Warriors check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 9 games. The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 9 games has been the Warriors. The Nuggets have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Warriors. The matchup vs. Denver may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Denver Nuggets are playing at home (2nd-most in the NBA).

Jimmy Butler III logo

Jimmy Butler III

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.2
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.2

The Warriors check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 9 games. The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 9 games has been the Warriors. The Nuggets have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Warriors. The matchup vs. Denver may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Denver Nuggets are playing at home (2nd-most in the NBA).

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

Christian Braun
C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.64
Best Odds

As it relates to scoring, the Denver Nuggets's stellar 126.8 points per game while playing at home settles in as the 3rd-most in the NBA this year. The 8th-fastest tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 9 games (the Warriors). The matchup vs. Golden State is a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 3.2 foul shots per game this year when the Golden State Warriors are the visiting squad (5th-most in the league).

Christian Braun logo

Christian Braun

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.64
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.64

As it relates to scoring, the Denver Nuggets's stellar 126.8 points per game while playing at home settles in as the 3rd-most in the NBA this year. The 8th-fastest tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 9 games (the Warriors). The matchup vs. Golden State is a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 3.2 foul shots per game this year when the Golden State Warriors are the visiting squad (5th-most in the league).

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

Nikola Jokic
N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.6
Best Odds

As it relates to scoring, the Denver Nuggets's stellar 126.8 points per game while playing at home settles in as the 3rd-most in the NBA this year. The 8th-fastest tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 9 games (the Warriors).

Nikola Jokic logo

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.6
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.6

As it relates to scoring, the Denver Nuggets's stellar 126.8 points per game while playing at home settles in as the 3rd-most in the NBA this year. The 8th-fastest tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 9 games (the Warriors).

Al Horford Points Scored Props • Golden State

Al Horford
A. Horford
center C • Golden State
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.73
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Al Horford has gone over 7.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Buddy Hield Points Scored Props • Golden State

Buddy Hield
B. Hield
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.29
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Buddy Hield has gone over 8.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Jonas Valanciunas Points Scored Props • Denver

Jonas Valanciunas
J. Valanciunas
center C • Denver
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.57
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Jonas Valanciunas has gone over 6.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

Tim Hardaway Jr.
T. Hardaway Jr.
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.07
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Tim Hardaway Jr. has gone over 8.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Will Richard Points Scored Props • Golden State

Will Richard
W. Richard
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.53
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Will Richard has gone over 6.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

GS vs DEN Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

There are no User Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Team Leaders to see all User picks.

Golden State Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
All Warriors Money Leaders

Denver Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Hotstuff1301 9-1-0 +6800
2 jbros01 8-2-0 +6750
3 repl63 10-0-0 +6750
4 proliner55 6-4-0 +6650
5 crsdonovan89000 9-1-0 +6350
6 andrew1981 9-1-0 +6250
7 reddog6008 8-2-0 +6200
8 JamesGang 8-2-0 +5930
9 rhinorey 10-0-0 +5900
10 lusvegasluva 9-1-0 +5750
All Nuggets Money Leaders
Top User Picks

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